Saturday, 23 January 2016

The Scottish Sceptic: -This year global cooling

The Scottish Sceptic has gone out on a limb and predicted -This year global cooling

This is interesting because the RagMag New Scientist has predicted that 2016 will be the hottest year ever - hotter that the MWP, the Roman Warming, even hotter that the Holocene Climate Optimum. Even the British Met " recently forecast that 2016 could be “at least as warm, if not warmer” than 2015"

Back to the RagMag New Scientist's prediction that 2016 will be the hottest year . It appears that, through Marc Morano's ClimateDepot, Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth is guessing (is guessing scientific, Kev?)
that 2016 may not be warmer than 2015, He thinks the current El Niño may already have begun to peak (or have peaked) and thus that the second half of 2016 may cool down again somewhat.
The Scottish Sceptic says:
...despite it usually being something we sceptics leave to idiot alarmists to do, for a while I’ve been telling anyone who wants to listen that this year is more than likely to see global cooling because three separate (possible) trends are adding together: 
  • Reduction in sun spots (likely but unclear relationship to temperature)
  • 60 year cycle is in cooling phase (cause unknown – but it appears in many records)
  • End of El Niño (supposed to be cause of massive rise in 1998 – but similar scale El Niño peaking around now has caused only minor upswing in satellites – which is only reliable indicator of global trends).
A solitary Scottish Sceptic sticks it too all the shrill who are predicting ever increasing warming.

1 comment:

  1. Looks like the Scottish Sceptic got it right on the East Coast of USA today.


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