Saturday, 25 April 2015

The Vultures of Alarmism

Anthony Cox

The recent East-Coast storm was a bad one. These storms are not common but neither are they rare. There was one in 2007 which grounded the Pasha Bulker, another in 1974 which grounded the Sygna and the biggest of them all in 1955 which basically drowned the lower Hunter Valley.

This storm featured 135K/h wind gusts and wave heights of 14.9 meters. During the Sygna storm wave heights reached 17 meters and wind gusts up to 165k/h. Rainfall was much heavier during the 1955 storm and there was much greater loss of life and extent of damage.

So there is no trend or discernible evidence for AGW causing worse storms.

That hasn’t stopped the usual suspects from dredging up the usual statements about how this storm is evidence of AGW and the climate getting worse. Matthew England for instance is a typical alarmist advocate with a PhD:

And look at Flannery:

Poor buggers. They do look crook. They’d be full of beans now though with this recent storm to complain about and Flannery has also been upset about Lomborg getting some money to research at AWU which is where Lewandowsky and Cook did such great work on consensus.

But look at Lomborg:

Now there’s a happy chap. He’s getting on with the business of real science. Unlike sad-sack England who like the rest of the alarmists is sprouting rubbish about the storm like this:

Referring to the 2007 east coast low that hit the Newcastle area, and the devastation of the Brisbane floods in 2011 that was repeated last year, Professor England said there was a clear trend in repeat disasters. 
“All around the world we’re seeing the return period of storms, heatwaves ... the return periods are shortening and it’s consistent with what we’re seeing with global warming.”Professor England said while the frequency of storms aren’t guaranteed to increase, there were three clear reasons why they’re going to be more intense. 
“A warmer climate means more energised storms, the sea level is higher so we’re in a situation where the storm surge tends to be that much more impactful because it’s smashing into the coast with a higher sea level, and with more moisture in the atmosphere there’s more of a chance of higher rainfall events,” he said.

Now this is unmitigated bullshit. The Brisbane floods were exacerbated by alarmist and green policies which meant that Wivenhoe dam, a dam designed to mitigate floods after the 1974 storms which were bigger than the 2011 storm, a dam built as a flood mitigator which meant it had to be empty, was filled to the brim because alarmist propaganda about endless drought had convinced witless policy makers to use Wivenhoe as a drought mitigator. In terms of floods England is contradicted by the BOM’s own records:

Clearly the floods have not become more intense but less intense and frequent. And droughts have become less frequent as Dr David Stockwell showed.

He said less difference in the temperatures between the poles and the equator caused by global warming "could ­reduce the kind of hot-cold weather fronts that generate severe storms''.
There has been some great work done by independent researchers in Australia on heatwaves such as Jo Nova and Geoff Sherrington, Ken Stewart, Chris Gilham and many others. It’s a pity England didn’t bother to read some of their research or even familiarise himself with the BOM’s data.

But alarmists like England are not about evidence which contradicts the narrative of AGW. He and the rest have invested too much in this lie to give up on it now. This is why they act like vultures whenever a nasty bit of weather comes along. They seem eager to use the opportunity to push their belief irrespective of the facts. In this respect they are like vultures and their influence has not only cost Australia and the world dearly but also impacted on the reputation of science. The sad photos England and the rest of this gang took of themselves (such vanity!) is not a true image of where and what they are. In fact the before and after images of the Sygna best sum up the status and position of AGW and its believers today. The Sygna in 1974:

The Sygna recently in 2009:

Like the Sygna, after exposure to reality AGW has shrunk to the pathetic but still costly wreck it is today. England and his crew are still sitting at the helm of this wreck.


  1. Bob Fernley-Jones25 April 2015 at 22:14

    I wonder if it is worth having a conversation with the federal Minister (Christopher P) about the quality of some PhD academics in some universities

  2. If one checks 'Notable Australian floods', one would find Maitland listed some 14 times since 1806. Most occurred before 1971 with five being listed from 1949-1955.
    I wonder what caused those?

  3. Let's not forget the Dapto floods in 1984, and the many other storms that have hit along the NSW coast over many years... and the fact that Maitland has massive diversions and levees to help control floods.

    M. England's comments really show a base line ignorance of NSW coastal weather.

    Again.. NOTHING UNTOWARD is happening to the climate, just natural variability.

  4. Gees, all he had to do was look up "East Coast Lows, on the BOM web site to educate himself. !

    (Simon, maybe add that to the bottom of previous post.?)


All serious comments published after moderation.
Comments should be polite, and respect all views.
No bad language. Spam never makes it!