Friday, 8 September 2017

Former NOAA Expert, High-Accuracy Hurricane Predictor Says “Natural Cycles” Major Driver

The folks over at Pierre Gosselin's No Tricks Zone have done it again.

In a post 6/9/17 (hmmm 6+9+17...Just sayin') headed:

Former NOAA Expert, High-Accuracy Hurricane Predictor Says “Natural Cycles” Major Driver

Irma eerily similar to Hurricane Donna’s (1960) track. Public Domain image.
A former NOAA meteorologist and 40-year veteran of hurricane predictions believes Irma will continue to move move west toward Florida and reach near the southern tip of the Florida Peninsula around Sunday, September 11th, as a major category 4 hurricane. 
Both David Dilley of Global Weather Oscillations and the National Hurricane Center now believe Irma will make landfall near the southern tip of Florida, from near or just west of Miami to just west or near Jacksonville and then run up the coast into eastern Georgia. 
Dilley adds: 
It all depends on exactly when it makes the turn to the north – just 20 miles makes a big difference. Historical tracks favor a landfall near or south of Miami.” 
Predictions based on natural cycles
Dilley had predicted a harsh hurricane season already back in early February, long before most forecasters were ready to go public with their forecasts.
In his February forecast, he predicted that the USA’s record 12-year run without a major hurricane hit would end in a big way. 
He also predicted that the southern tip of Florida would be hit by a major hurricane, one that would move northward through the state after making landfall, and that this southern Florida zone overall would enter the strongest and most active hurricane cycle since the period from 1945 to 1950 (65 to 70 years ago). 

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