Thursday, 26 February 2015

The Myth of the Climate Change '97%'


Two Climate Scientists have (re) exposed the  Myth of the 97% - false belief—constantly repeated—that almost all scientists agree about global warming. (link)

Joe Bast and Roy Spencer wrote that John Kerry said: "Ninety-seven percent of the world's scientists tell us this is urgent."

Anyone who quotes this "97%" idiocy opens themselves up to personal ridicule

The papers that have been rebutted include:

an essay by Naomi Oreskes

Ms. Oreskes's definition of consensus covered "man-made" but left out "dangerous"—and scores of articles by prominent scientists such as Richard Lindzen, John Christy, Sherwood Idso and Patrick Michaels, who question the consensus, were excluded
and also include "Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union" 
The survey's questions don't reveal much of interest. Most scientists who are skeptical of catastrophic global warming nevertheless would answer "yes" to both questions;
In 2010, William R. Love Anderegg, then a student at Stanford University, used Google Scholar to identify the views of the most prolific writers on climate change:
Mr. Love Anderegg found that 97% to 98% of the 200 most prolific writers on climate change believe "anthropogenic greenhouse gases have been responsible for 'most' of the 'unequivocal' warming." There was no mention of how dangerous this climate change might be; and, of course, 200 researchers out of the thousands who have contributed to the climate science debate is not evidence of consensus.
And then we come to the cartoonist.....John Cook:
In 2013, John Cook, an Australia-based blogger, and some of his friends reviewed abstracts of peer-reviewed papers published from 1991 to 2011. Mr. Cook reported that 97% of those who stated a position explicitly or implicitly suggest that human activity is responsible for some warming. His findings were published in Environmental Research Letters.
Mr. Cook's work was quickly debunked. In Science and Education in August 2013, for example, David R. Legates (a professor of geography at the University of Delaware and former director of its Center for Climatic Research) and three coauthors reviewed the same papers as did Mr. Cook and found "only 41 papers—0.3 percent of all 11,944 abstracts or 1.0 percent of the 4,014 expressing an opinion, and not 97.1 percent—had been found to endorse" the claim that human activity is causing most of the current warming. Elsewhere, climate scientists including Craig Idso, Nicola Scafetta, Nir J. Shaviv and Nils- Axel Morner, whose research questions the alleged consensus, protested that Mr. Cook ignored or misrepresented their work.
Perhaps you read about all this deception by the Alarmists in the Main Stream Media?

Or perhaps, the Unbiased Australian Broadcasting Commission?

There is no basis for the claim that 97% of scientists believe that man-made climate change is a dangerous problem.


  1. 97% of Imams agree that sharia law is the best form of government. So What?
    97% of "Climate Change scientists" are political actors.

  2. Is that fellow John Cook still alive? What does he say about it?

    1. John Cook is a crook fraud. I connect him to many of my posts, but he doesn't respond.

  3. You will find upon closer inspection that she said 97% if those climate researchers that returned the survey.

    1. I assume, when you say she, that you are referring to Naomi Oreskes. Her paper is linked above. You will find upon closer inspection, that you, Alexander, are wrong.

    2. Well one of us is wrong because it was 97% of those that responded those that didn't respond could not be included.

    3. Sorry that you cannot read or understand the paper that Oreskes wrote. Have you considered looking at the other attempts to show 97% consensus detailed above that have also been found wanting?


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