Tuesday, 5 November 2013

Alarmists hopes crumbling again, Time to close IPCC.

The graph shown above, based on a version published by Dr Ed Hawkins of
Reading University on his blog, Climate Lab Book, reveals that actual
temperatures are now below the predictions made by almost all the
138 models on which the IPCC relies. (Image Daily Mail)

"The only way that a 2015 agreement can achieve a 2-degree goal is to shut down the whole global economy."
That is the opinion of Yvo de Boer, who was UNFCCC executive secretary in 2009, when attempts to reach a deal at a summit in Copenhagen crumbled with a rift between industrialized and developing nations.  

In an article in The Columbian by Alex Morales of Bloomberg News headed
Kyoto veterans see warming goals slipping away
Image: NoTricksZone
The only three living diplomats who have led the United Nations global warming talks said there’s little chance the next climate treaty will prevent the world from overheating. 
Run that past me again.
there’s little chance the next climate treaty will prevent the world from overheating.
Have these people been paying attention. The warming has stopped. THEIR models have failed. (See graph above.)

Alex writes:
The specific goal, to hold temperature increases to 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), was endorsed by envoys from 190 nations in 2010. It’s considered the maximum the environment can bear before climate change becomes more dangerous. Delegates to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change meet in Warsaw starting Nov. 11 to work on a treaty that could be agreed to in 2015.
He then goes on to quote the three living diplomats:
“There is nothing that can be agreed in 2015 that would be consistent with the 2 degrees,” said Yvo de Boer.
“I don’t think even a 2015 agreement is going to all of a sudden overnight result in a 2-degree pathway,” Christiana Figueres, the current UNFCCC executive secretary.
“My hunch is that we won’t be there in 2015, but we’ll hopefully take a big step toward being there,” Michael Zammit Cutajar, the first UNFCCC executive secretary.  
The challenge faced by policymakers worldwide is to reverse the rising output of greenhouse gases without hindering economic development.
They seem to have given up on their efforts to cool the planet at this year's talkfests. Meanwhile the Sun spot activity continues to head for a new Maunder Minimum.

NASA says:
Early records of sunspots indicate that the Sun went through a period of inactivity in the late 17th century. Very few sunspots were seen on the Sun from about 1645 to 1715.
The middle of the Little Ice Age occurred during this period of low solar activity.

From Carter et al's  Taxing Air
U.S. astrophysicist Willie Soon has made several vital breakthroughs in the understanding of solar-climate relationships. His recent research shows that for circum-Arctic locations as widely separated as USA, the Arctic and China, a strong and direct relationship exists between temperature and in- coming solar radiation (Fig. 28, p.151), consistent with changes in solar ra- diation driving temperature variations on at least a hemispheric scale. 
Close correlations like these simply do not exist for temperature and changing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration.

Ice Age Now reports:
The severe cold of the ‘Little Ice Age’, a period of harsh winters across the UK and Europe in the 1600s, went hand in hand with an exceptionally inactive sun,says this article on BBC.That period of harsh winters and low solar activity is known as the Maunder solar minimum. 
Now a leading scientist from Reading University, Professor Mike Lockwood, warns that the current rate of decline in solar activity poses a real risk of a return of Maunder minimum conditions. 
According to Lockwood, professor of space environment physics, the sun was unusually active during the late 1900s, and that  a so-called ‘grand maximum’ occurred around 1985.
Since then the sun has been getting quieter. 
So much quieter that Professor Lockwood – who only 6 years ago blamed man-made CO2 for global warming - now thinks solar activity is falling more rapidly than at any time in the last 10,000 years.
The IPCC's sole purpose was to find a man-made cause of global warming. They ignore any other possible cause/

Now that the warming has stalled/ceased while man's GHG emissions continue to rise, does the IPCC have a legitimate Raison d'être?