NZCLIMATE TRUTH NEWSLETTER NO 310
MAY 10th 2013
by IPCC Expert Reviewer Vincent Gray
 |
| Straws in the Wind. |
THE WAY
BACK
For over 30 years the world has been saturated with
the environmental fallacy.
It has taken over the media; newspapers, radio, TV;
the education system;, the schools, the universities.
It has led to a retreat from experimental and
theoretical science.
My professional career began during the war when
science made a substantial contribution to its outcome. We had vigorous
scientific discussions both in public and in the media. We published them in
the journals. We enjoyed prestige, attractive salaries and public confidence.
It declined immediately the war ended. R V Jones,
in his “Most Secret War” recounts that as soon as the war ended the military
were no longer interested in measures to improve conditions of survival of
pilots.
I endured a steady decline of science. In
industrial research the role of the scientist was to justify the decisions of
the sales department, and now it is increasingly to justify the policies of the
Government even in the universities.
We have benefited from technical progress, based on
scientific discoveries of the past. Chemistry, X-Ray diffraction have enabled
molecules to be visualized. Combined with the genetic code it has led to modern
medicine and our longer lives. Computers and solid state physics have changed
our communications completely. The environmentalists accept these grudgingly,
but they reject nuclear power, chemical pesticides, genetically engineered
crops, and even (current National Geographic article) nitrogen based
fertilizers. They have rubbished Darwin’s theories of evolution and replaced
them by The Environment and Sustainability
There have
not been any revolutionary scientific discoveries
for 50 years
Scientists now live on short term contracts,
interspersed with press announcements which either scare the public or claims
to have made world shattering discoveries, all in the aid of receiving the next
grant.
The climate models that have been foisted on the
public would have been rejected by all the journals I knew in 1940. They can
only gain credance in an atmosphere where science education has been replaced
by dogmatic endorsements of the pioneers, and, increasingly, of the charlatans
who have taken science over.
I have recently been revising my old NZClimate
Truth Newsletters where I said it all years ago. There are no new publications
worth answering. The latest IPCC Report.
merely repeats previous shibboleths
They have confessed that they are frauds in the
Climategate letters, and even, as I point out, in such items as Jim Hansen’s
item on “The Elusive Surface Temperature”
But, who cares? They still routinely promote the
views of environmental activists on
every excuse, Prince Charles and Al Gore keep up their worrying.
So, at last, to get to the point of this
Newsletter, are we returning slowly to reality?
There are currently a number of indications that the worm is
beginning to turn.
Fracking
This is a method developed in 1947 for improving
oil production which has been the deliverer of the United States economy where
they now export oil, instead of importing. It has had the effect of making coal
so cheap that it has boosted cosl-fired powers stations and made up the energy
shortfall in Japan that followed their unwise abandonment of nuclear energy.
European environmentalists and anti-nuclear
Japanese must now face the fact that gas prices in the USA are now
$3.32 per million BTU in USA, $11.77 in
Europe and $I6.66 in Japan
The New Zealand Government seems at last to be
encouraging oil exploration. Discouraging damaging protest and even approving the ming of gold in its
traditional region, Waihi.
Temperature
I have spent much effort pointing out that you
cannot measure the average temperature of the earth’s surface and that the “Mean
Global Surface Temperature Anomaly Record” is a very poor substitute. It is not
a temperature record at all, but consists of a series of multiple averages each
of which is based on a different mixture of measurements from unrepresentative
weather stations. It is also, like all of the ”data” favoured by the IPCC,
subtly biased to enable it to support the greenhouse theory. What is amazing is
that they did not do a better job, and that the world could be made to cringe
at the thought of an increased temperature of less than one degree in 100
years.
Yet it has now got stuck. It has stayed much the
same for 17 years and Dr Pachauri is so worried that he thinks it might last
another 15 years before his desired warming actually happens.
Apart from the infected Met Services, like the UK
where they still keep predicting forthcoming warm winters and our own service
which failed to predict the drought. Most ordinary meteorologists carry on with
genuine science which does not deoend on greenhouse gas concentrations
Windmills
The companies are going bust and the US is trying
protectionism for its own dying manufacturers
Brian Leyland at
shows that windmills actually increase emissions of
carbon dioxide because they have ti be backed up witgh inefficient powere
stations that can be frequently turned on and off
Emissions
Only 15% of greenhouse gas emissions currently come
from countries that signed the Kyoto Treaty. The New Zealand Minister, Tim
Groser, recommends it should be ditched at
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10851772
Carbon Price is “Inching close to zero”
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/feb/07/european-carbon-price-zero
Sir Peter
Gluckman
The Government’s Chief scientific advisor has
announced new funding for the National Science Challenges at
It is more interesting in what it does not say that
in what it says.
§
Aging well – harnessing science to sustain health and wellbeing into the
later years of life
§
A better start – improving the potential of young New Zealanders to have
a healthy and successful life
§
Healthier lives – research to reduce the burden of major New Zealand
health problems
§
High value nutrition – developing high value foods with validated health
benefits
§
New Zealand’s biological heritage – protecting and managing our
biodiversity, improving our biosecurity, and enhancing our resilience to
harmful organisms .
It is all very laudable, but there is no mention of
any new ideas that might push any of these objects further.
For the first time there is no mention of the
environment, global warming, climate change endangered species, or
sustainability. It is actually getting real, at last
Conclusion
These are, as yet, only straws in the wind. There
is still much to do before science and common sense can once again prevail.
Cheers
Vincent Gray
Wellington 6035
New Zealand
Wellington 6035
New Zealand
