Saturday, 9 February 2013

Is the Arctic "rooned."

Patrick Joseph Hartigan, writing in 1890 as Australian bush poet John O'Brien, when the country was in the grip of drought, wrote "Said Hanrahan."

"If we don't get three inches, man,
            Or four to break this drought,
We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan," 
Before the year is out."
And the doomsayers have continued to this day.

In 2007 the BBC predicted:

Arctic summers ice-free 'by 2013'

Scientists in the US have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of Arctic sea ice.Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years.

A month ago, the EU news site  published

 Arctic Sea ice loss will cause ‘pronounced’ future melt

Sea ice surface cover in the Arctic region plunged to a new record low of 24% last year, some 50% less than climate scientists at the UN’s Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had predicted. 

"The arctic's all a meltin',
as this warming gets about,
We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan,

"Before the year is out." 

But wait! What a difference a month made. From the Toronto Post, we read:

Arctic Ice Growth Blows Away All Records

Arctic ice area has increased by 10.5 million km^2 since mid-September 2012. (See graph above)

CSIR-Oh! Oh Dear!

NCTCS blog recently received an email from one of the co-founders of the Galileo Movement, John Smeed.
John and his friend Case Smit are heroes of this NCTCS blogger.
The Galileo movement has been formed by two amazing men. This daring pair of retired engineers risked their own money to promote the (first) Australian tour for Lord Christopher Monckton. (link)

The NO CARBON TAX Climate Sceptics Party Promoted Lord Monckton's Second Australian tour to Eastern Australia and, in co-operation with our associated body, The Lord Monckton Foundation  we are presenting our current Australian tour of Lord Monckton. (For details, see link above.)

John Smeed and Case Smit then set up the Galileo Movement.   They invited Malcolm Roberts to be their Project Leader.

Recently Malcolm has had a discourse with an ABC presenter called STEVE Austin and he linked various others in his email."
To: StephenAustin
Cc: TonyDelroy,KellyHiggins-Devine,Michael
Spencer , Vanessa Wiltshire , Geraldine Doogue , Tony Jones , Fran Kelly , Kerry O'Brien , Margot O'Neill

Initially Malcolm describes his "road to Damascus."
Nonetheless, I was initially overawed by the might of the army of scientists purportedly arrayed in support of the notion that human carbon dioxide production was threatening our planet with catastrophic damage. How can 'little 'ol me be right against this army of scientists and celebraties and politicians'? Surely, 'I must be wrong'? 

Yet I trusted my instinct. Rather than just argue irresponsibly though, I devoted a considerable portion of the last (few) years researching for myself. That included attending The First International Conference on Climate Change in New York in March, 2008 addressed by the world's eminent climate scientists. I felt their passion and that surprised me. I discovered that many of the scientists denouncing the UN IPCC (the government's basis for its climate policies) were UN IPCC

I felt reassured, invigorated, determined. 
Malcolm went on to examine a report from the CSIRO.

Steve Austin invited a management consultant’s review of CSIRO’s document entitled The Science of Tackling Climate Change. He specifies that the report is, quote “The official CSIRO document provided by the head of CSIRO, Dr Megan Clarke. As you know CSIRO1 had a great number of scientist [sic] contributed to the IPCC report, as Dr Clarke told the National Press Club in Canberra late 2009. I interviewed the Chief Executive of the CSIRO Dr Clarke recently and she made it quite clear that they stood by their research and the data they have provided that supports the general concerns about sea levels rises, shifting climate and water data.”
My brief from Steve Austin is to, quote: “Please read through the Australian scientific paper and identify where you believe the CSIRO data has been falsified or is wrong.”
So Malcolm accepted the Challenge:

Work started immediately on reviewing CSIRO’s report. My review progressively uncovered ever more disturbing insights into CSIRO and the global warming industry. Investigation eventually led to the inescapable conclusion that Australia’s national governance is threatened.
Consequently this report was prepared for all members of Australia’s national parliament. It’s being posted to each MP via Registered Post with Delivery Confirmation.
It would be interesting to know how many of Australia's Parliament responded to Malcolm's Registered Post - How Many Labor Parliamentarians, how many Coalition parliamentarians, whether the independents, Oakeshott, Windsor, and other less independent independents also responded.

Surely, in a democracy, all parliamentary members would answer such a well-researched paper as Malcolm's.

The original paper, for all you who are hearing about it for the first time, and for the parliamentarians who missed the first notice can be found at!.html

If you still believe that the "S" in CSIRO stands for "Scientific," dodge!.html with all your might.

Down, Down, Prices are down!...carbon prices!

Down! Down! Prices are Down!
Australia's incentive killing, business exporting tax on vital-to-life carbon dioxide is set at $23/tonne and rising.

Australia's Climate Change and Energy Efficiency Minister Greg Combet has said that our tax on essential to all life on the planet carbon dioxide starts at $23/tonne and rises incrementally until July 2015 when Australia's fixed carbon price ends.  (link)

After 1st July 2015 Australia then reverts to the European Union Trading Price.

Mr Combet was introducing into parliament a suite of seven bills to establish a link between the Australian and European emissions trading schemes from July 2015 when Australia's fixed carbon price ends.
It also removes a carbon floor price so Australia can move to "a fully flexible emissions trading scheme where the Australian carbon price reflects the price in the largest carbon market in the world". (link)
So where is the "largest carbon (dioxide) market in the world" today?
Prices in the EU's Emissions Trading System (ETS) on Thursday (24 January) dropped to €2.81 a metric tonne after a vote in the European Parliament's energy and industry committee opposing a scheme known as "backloading" - or supporting prices by extracting allowances from the market and reinjecting them later.  (link)
So €2.81 is about $3.84 Australian.  But what did Climate Change and Energy Efficiency Minister Greg Combet say about linking to the EU market prices?
It also removes a carbon floor price so Australia can move to "a fully flexible emissions trading scheme where the Australian carbon price reflects the price in the largest carbon market in the world".

Mr Combet said this would mean the domestic carbon price reflected the price of Australia's second largest trading bloc and be the same as in at least 30 other countries, including Britain, France and Germany.
WOW!  Perhaps, instead,  Climate Change and Energy Efficiency Minister Greg Combet should have linked to our neighbouring NZ Carbon (dioxide) Market. He might have had better luck.

NZ carbon steady at record low below NZ$2.50

BEIJING, Feb 7 (Reuters Point Carbon) - Spot permits in New Zealand’s Emissions Trading Scheme closed Thursday at NZ$2.45, unchanged from last week as a lack of demand kept prices at record low levels.
Using the conversion rate of AUD/NZD = 0.81012NZ$2.45 = AUD1.98.