Tuesday, 15 November 2011

5AR...Where are you?

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC's 5AR) is due out this Friday.

What will it reveal?

Well, I keep reading what it will contain.

Richard Black of the BBC claims "Mixed messages on Climate Vulnerability."
There is "low confidence" that tropical cyclones have become more frequent, "limited-to-medium evidence available" to assess whether climatic factors have changed the frequency of floods, and "low confidence" on a global scale even on whether the frequency has risen or fallen.
Czech Physicist Lubos Motl: "No climate change for 20-30 years."
It says that we don't know whether the climate will be warming or cooling in the next 20-30 years because the man-made signal is negligible relatively to the natural variability and that we only have low or medium confidence on whether or not the frequency of extreme events is changing and whether or not the greenhouse gases are behind these changes if any.
Professor Roger Pielke, Jr: "Leaked Text of IPCC extreme report."
After working for more than a decade on this issue with many colleagues around the world, it is indeed satisfying to see the climate science community on the brink of finally get this topic right, after botching it at almost every previous opportunity
Can't wait to see the new report.  And can't wait to see whether they have learned the lesson on peer-review and their previous use of Alarmists.....

As Donna Laframboise says:
 ...the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) cannot be trusted. We would be foolish to believe that an organization that doesn't describe its own personnel, its own reports, or its own processes accurately is making sound decisions about something as complicated as climate change.