Wednesday, 24 August 2011

Peer-review Paper - Poleward Plant Progression Propaganda Pummeled

Image: CSIRO
Poloczanska, E.S., Smith, S., Fauconnet, L., Healy, J., Tibbetts, I.R., Burrows, M.T. and Richardson, A.J. 2011. Little change in the distribution of rocky shore faunal communities on the Australian east coast after 50 years of rapid warming. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 400: 145-154. 

Seabra, R., Wethey, D.S., Santos, A.M. and Lima, F.P. 2011. Side matters: Microhabitat influence on intertidal heat stress over a large geographical scale. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 400: 200-208.

As the Idso's CO2 Science website  explains:
One of the main tenets of global warming orthodoxy is that as temperatures around the world rise, both terrestrial and aquatic plants and animals will be forced to migrate to cooler parts of the planet in order to avoid extinction, which for marine organisms can mean only that they must move poleward in latitude.
The authors had a fresh look at the surveys of marine fauna that had been conducted in the 1940s and 50s at 22 rocky shores sites located between 23 and 35ºS latitude.
Poloczanska et al. report that of the 37 species they encountered that had distributional data available from both time periods, "only six species showed poleward shifts consistent with predictions of global climate change." Four others actually moved in the opposite direction "inconsistent with expectations under climate change," while the rest "showed no significant changes in range edges."

The authors stated that it was the effect of wave exposure, local currents and the presence of large sand islands - and "not temperature.." that is the "primary factor influencing biogeographical distribution" along Australia's East Coast.

IPCC - Ink Blot or stain on Scientific Method?

My Photo
Roger Pielke, Jr.

is a professor of environmental studies at the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research at the University of Colorado at Boulder. He also has appointments as a Visiting Senior Fellow, Mackinder Programme, London School of Economics and Senior Visiting Fellow at the Consortium for Science, Policy and Outcomes at Arizona State University. I am also a Senior Fellow of The Breakthrough Institute, a progressive think tank.
Today he has written on his blog Science, Policy, Politics and occasionally other stuff
a post titled:

Ink Blots, Ambiguity and Outcomes in the Real World

He discusses how the IPCC (and I might add - all the sycophants and Non-Investigative Main Stream Media) blame any climate event on the planet with the falsified hypothesis of man-made (or Anthropogenic) Global Warming.

The ink blot nature of climate science would be a non-issue if it were a field like philosophy or cosmology in which people were debating non-empirical claims for academic interests. But climate science -- or at least a very visible part of that field -- has set forth on an evangelistic path in trying to convince the unconvinced of their views among politicians and the general public.  But the ink blot nature of climate science leaves climate scientists in a position of arguing from authority or demanding that people need "trust us."

After some argument, Professor Pielke closes:

There are two ways for the climate science community to move beyond an ink blot (if it wishes to do so). One would be to advance predictions that are in fact conventionally falsifiable (or otherwise able to be evaluated) based on experience.  This would mean risking being wrong, like economists do all the time. The second would be to openly admit that uncertainties are so large that such predictions are not in the offing. This would neither diminish the case for action on climate change nor the standing of climate science, in fact it may just have the opposite effect. 

The default will be the status quo, which means climate science as inkblot -- and the associated arguments from authority, "trust us" and politicization that comes along with it.  

Critical Look at Global Warming Data - Webinar

Critical Look at Global Warming Data: Wickedly Complex System Called Climate

Mon, Aug 29, 2011 4:01 AM - 9:45 AM AEST 

Ross McKitrick

Subject: THIS SUNDAY: FREE Viewing Critical Look at Global Warming Data: Wickedly Complex System Called Climate speakers include Lindzen, Shaviv, Curry, McKitrick, and Carter

On Mon, Aug 22, 2011 at 10:33 PM, Peter Bonk <> wrote:

Bob Carter

Hello all,
This is the invite to the Over the Internet Symposium I have organized for the American Chemical Society meeting in Denver Colorado. The symposium will be held on Sunday, August 28th, 2011 from 12:50 pm to 5:45 pm Mountain Daylight Time,  3pm-7pm EDT.  Click the link and follow the directions to register. There is no charge to register.
I hope you will find this symposium an educational and informative adventure. Our speakers are:
William Stewart, Ross McKitrick (U Guelph), Judith Curry (Georgia Tech), Nir Shaviv (Hebrew University of Jerusalem), Bob Carter (James Cook University), and Richard Lindzen (MIT).

PLEASE forward this to any others that may be interested. If I get to 100 people registered by Thursday evening I can expand the number of folks who can hear this from 100 to 500 people- So spread the word.

Once registered you will receive an email confirming your registration
with information you need to join the Webinar.
System Requirements
PC-based attendees
Required: Windows® 7, Vista, XP or 2003 Server
Macintosh®-based attendees
Required: Mac OS® X 10.5 or newer