Thursday, 23 December 2010

Global Warming causes Global Cooling - They're fooling.

Just a few years ago, Brits were reading:

by Polly Buchanan  Feb 8th, 2008

Winter has gone for ever and we should officially bring spring forward instead, one of the country’s most respected gardeners said yesterday.
For climate change has wiped out the season of traditionally long, hard frosts and replaced it with brightly blossoming gardens bursting into flower months early.

The curator of Kew Gardens said that native plants which historically flower in May are already in leaf and a modern definition of the seasons was needed.

Read more: here....
So what happens when Britain, Northern Europe and North America have extremely cold winters for three years? 

Let's look at George Monbiot's changing opinion
(courtesy of Marc Morano's Climate Depot)

2008 – Record heat weather patterns equals "Oh my, the world's on fire!"

2010 – Record cold weather patterns "Oh my, the world's on fire!" 2009 global warming alarmists hadn't thought up a way to blame global warming yet. However, George Monbiot believes he has it figured out, which means that blaming individual weather events is back en vogue....
Monbiot tells us that "there is now strong evidence to suggest that the unusually cold winters of the last two years in the UK are the result of heating elsewhere."  That's right! It's very cold because it's very hot somewhere else.

Some scientists do not agree with this:-

Dr Roger Pielke Sr:

This failure to skillfully predict any of the extreme weather patterns we have seen in the past should be a wake-up call to policymakers and the public that the climate science community is overselling the prediction skill that is possible
Unfortunately,  they also continue to miss the significance that it is the regional circulations that matter much more, not a global average anomaly, as I discussed on my post
An Example of Why Regional Weather Patterns Are More Important Than A Global-Average Temperature Anomaly

Some call this phenomenon the Arctic Paradox: that as the Arctic gets warmer, the cold air doesn’t necessarily disappear, it just shifts south. In other words, there isn’t any weather, hot or cold, that can’t be explained with global warming theory. Unsurprisingly, some are not convinced.
“You can make up any analogy you want, but the fact is that computer models don’t show that change,” Pat Michaels, a climatologist and senior fellow at the Cato Institute told The Daily Caller. “If you can’t model it, you don’t have any evidence for it.”
It is, said Michaels, the “core problem of climatology:” “It is attempting to explain everything even when everything becomes contradictory.”
Myron Ebell, director of the Center of Energy and Environment at the Competitive Enterprise Institute.

“They make this stuff up as they go along,” said Myron Ebell, director of the Center of Energy and Environment at the Competitive Enterprise Institute. “If this theory is true, a necessary consequence is that there will be less severe winter storms because arctic air masses will not be as cold.”
According to Ebell, if the Arctic was getting warmer, the air rushing south would also be warm. This would reduce the difference between the two meeting pressure systems, leading to less severe winter weather. This hasn’t happened.
James A. Marusek, Retired U.S. Navy Physicist:
 "Unusual snowfalls and cold weather in both hemispheres for 4 years -- 'This is what might be expected if Earth is sliding into new Dalton Minimum."
Anthony Watts has a blog post re the Dalton Minimum:

The sun went spotless yesterday, the first time in quite awhile. It seems like a good time to present this analysis from my friend David Archibald. For those not familiar with the Dalton Minimum, here’s some background info from Wiki:
The Dalton Minimum was a period of low solar activity, named after the English meteorologist John Dalton, lasting from about 1790 to 1830.[1] Like the Maunder Minimum and Spörer Minimum, the Dalton Minimum coincided with a period of lower-than-average global temperatures. The Oberlach Station in Germany, for example, experienced a 2.0°C decline over 20 years.[2] The Year Without a Summer, in 1816, also occurred during the Dalton Minimum. Solar cycles 5 and 6, as shown below, were greatly reduced in amplitude. – Anthony