Graham Williamson

January 2020

Source: The Guardian
Media Nonsense – Trying so hard to avoid the truth!

As Professor Andy Pitman, Director, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, formerly Director of the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, recently pointed out, there is a yawning gap between the scientific facts about droughts and climate change, and the media hype relating to this issue. According to the Professor during an  address at the Sydney Environment Institute:
“…this may not be what you expect to hear. but as far as the climate scientists know there is no link between climate change and drought. That may not be what you read in the newspapers and sometimes hear commented, but there is no reason a priori why climate change should make the landscape more arid.”
The media however live in their own world, a world often completely devoid of facts and truth.

At this time of severe droughts and bushfires impacting large areas of Australia, media coverage is often characterised by those claiming government ‘climate change’ policies are to blame. Typical headlines scream “
The new normal? How climate change is making droughts worse,” “Climate change is already making droughts worse,” Climate change causing more droughts & floods in Australia”, and “Climate Change Makes Droughts in Australia Worse”.

Given the connection between droughts and bushfires, many sought to blame ‘climate change’ for bushfires also, with headlines like, “Bushfire season 'will be more severe as a result of climate change'.” Greens Senator Jordon Steele-John even accused the government of being “arsonists”:

"How dare any of you suggest that in this moment at this time it is appropriate to be prosecuting a piece of legislation with the aim of propping up coal," he told the chamber. "You are no better than a bunch of arsonists - borderline arsonists - and you should be ashamed."

According to a further news report, “Greens MP Adam Bandt has blamed the unprecedented bushfires and ‘catastrophic’ fire risk across two states on climate change, and even suggested Prime Minister Scott Morrison is partly responsible due to the government’s lack of action.”

The Bureau of Meteorology even went so far as to claim, whether floods or droughts, it is all likely caused by what they referred to as ‘climate change’.

Presented below are the scientific facts, according to scientists. For their own reasons, the mainstream media has consistently and obsessively sought to conceal, or avoid highlighting these facts. They have sought not to publicise the truth. This persistent media campaign against truth, is a campaign against the people, a campaign against the foundations of democracy.

At a time when so many Australians are suffering so much from bushfires and drought, the media still treat the truth, and the people, with absolute contempt.

What the Science says About Droughts & Human-Caused Climate Change

Scientists say we do not know what causes droughts and what ends droughts – but yet alarmists say they know the answers, humans are the cause, and politicians can control them.
 “…this may not be what you expect to hear. but as far as the climate scientists know there is no link between climate change and drought. That may not be what you read in the newspapers and sometimes hear commented, but there is no reason a priori why climate change should made the landscape more arid.If you look at the Bureau of Meteorology data over the whole of the last one hundred years there’s no trend in data. There is no drying trend.  There’s been a trend in the last twenty years, but there’s been no trend in the last hundred years, and that’s an expression on how variable Australian rainfall climate is. There are in some regions but not in other regions.So the fundamental problem we have is that we don’t understand what causes droughts.Much more interesting, We don’t know what stops a drought. We know it’s rain, but we don’t know what lines up to create drought breaking rains.”

The Professor’s comments are perfectly clear. Apart from his assertion that “there is no link between climate change and drought”, he also states “there is no reason a priori why climate change should make the landscape more arid…… there’s been no trend in the last hundred years……. we don’t understand what causes droughts…….. we don’t know what lines up to create drought-breaking rains.”.

The scientific evidence is abundantly clear, humans cannot control, reduce, or prevent, droughts.

IPCC, Droughts, & AGW – The Scientific Evidence

According to the IPCC AR5 scientific report in their AR5 Technical Summary:

No global trend in droughts as emissions increase
“There is low confidence in a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness (lack of rainfall), owing to lack of direct observations, dependencies of inferred trends on the index choice and geographical inconsistencies in the trends. However, this masks important regional changes and, for example, the frequency and intensity of drought have likely increased in the Mediterranean and West Africa and likely decreased in central North America and northwest Australia since 1950. “

And in Chapter 2 of the AR5 Report the IPCC state:

“Confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness (lack of rainfall) since the middle of the 20th centu­ry, owing to lack of direct observations, methodological uncer­tainties and geographical inconsistencies in the trends.”

The IPCC summarise in Chapter 10 of the AR5 Report, stating previous claims about humans causing droughts were alarmist or exaggerated:

Droughts not caused by humans, and previous claims false or exaggerated
“In summary, assessment of new observational evidence, in conjunc­tion with updated simulations of natural and forced climate varia­bility  indicates that the AR4 conclusions regarding global increasing trends in droughts since the 1970s should be tempered. There is not enough evidence to support medium or high confidence of attribution of increasing trends to anthropogenic forcings as a result of observa­tional uncertainties and variable results from region to region (Section Combined with difficulties described above in distinguishing decadal scale variability in drought from long-term climate change we conclude consistent with SREX that there is low confidence in detec­tion and attribution of changes in drought over global land areas since the mid-20th century.”

But most telling is the admission by the IPCC in the AR5 Technical Summary, that droughts during the “last millennium”, before the industrial revolution and rise of atmospheric CO2, were much worse than today:

Droughts worse before ‘carbon’ emissions
“There is high confidence for droughts during the last millennium of greater magnitude and longer duration than those observed since the beginning of the 20th century in many regions. There is medium confidence that more megadroughts occurred in monsoon Asia and wetter conditions prevailed in arid Central Asia and the South American monsoon region during the Little Ice Age (1450–1850) compared to the Medieval Climate Anomaly (950–1250).”

Clearly, the IPCC confirm the views of Professor Andy Pitman.

What do BOM & CSIRO Say About Rainfall & Droughts in Australia?

Lower rainfall and reduced runoff in the southeast of Australia associated with the current drought is in part due to natural variability as well as to human-induced climate change. The relative contribution of each of these mechanisms remains uncertain.”

“However, natural variability still dominates Australian rainfall variability from one year to the next, and its influence is large enough to mask the impact of underlying rainfall trends in the short to medium term.” 
Looking at specific areas of Australia in a publication entitled “Climate change in Australia”, BOM & CSIRO paint a confusing picture indeed, pointing out that human-induced changes are not as important as natural variability and “the risk of both a drier and wetter climate” should be considered for most areas. They do point out however, that global emissions are expected to target some areas of Australia much more than other areas when it comes to droughts and rainfall.

As noted above, especially at this time, we desperately need to ensure resources are not diverted away from the realities of the current drought and bushfires, and the suffering they are causing. We need to move on and ensure people are not foolishly misled into believing humans can control or prevent droughts with a ‘carbon tax’. We especially need to stop terrifying and manipulating children with untruths.


  1. Peter Cunningham22 January 2020 at 08:25

    BRILLIANT - and to reinforce ..... here from the former top dog (now retired) of New Zealand's Department of Scientific and Industrial Research (DSIR) - Dr David Kear.

    But of course he and those like him are ignored and berated by the righteous as they pursue their Messaih GRETA ... and let's not forget big Al Gore!

    "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Eatrh's climate. Morever, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth." Dr David Kear - Top NZ Scientist


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