A review and commentary on topical matters concerning the science, economics, and governance associated with climate change developments.
1 November 2019
Developments in the science
While Greta Thunberg was haranguing the UN, 500 scientists presented anopen lettersaying:
Natural as well as anthropogenic factors cause warming.
Warming is far slower than predicted.
Climate policy relies on inadequate models.
CO2 is not a pollutant. It is a plant food that is essential to all life on Earth. Additional CO2 in the air has promoted growth in global plant biomass. And increased crop yields worldwide.
Global warming has not increased natural disasters.
Climate policy must respect scientific and economic realities.
There is no climate emergency. Therefore, there is no cause for panic.
Australia’s Drought MinisterDavid Littleproudsaid he “totally” accepts climate change is leading to hotter days and droughts. But the evidence shows erratic but increasing rainfall.
Meanwhile, there is considerable datatampering“rectification” by the climate authorities. Andrew Boltshowed that Australian temperatures had been “amended” – actually re-homogenised - by the BoM. As this graph shows, recent temperatures have been increased and older ones decreased.
The warming effect of CO2 is logarithmic, henceclimatologist “edmh”shows 87 per cent of any possible warming effect has already happened and catastrophe-hyped 2°C heating cannot take place.
Duplicating the treatment ofProfessor Peter Ridd, who the courts have found was illegally sacked by James Cook University, adjunct professorDr Susan Crockfordwas fired by Canada’s Victoria University, because she showed that polar bears are thriving, with populations reaching levels not seen for decades. Peter Ridd has beensupportedby the head of the Great Barrier Reef in his views about its general good health.
Mark Perryhas assembled some quotations from Richard Lindzen, considered by many to be the world’s leading atmospheric physicist. Among them is this gem, “What historians will definitely wonder about in future centuries is how deeply flawed logic, obscured by shrewd and unrelenting propaganda, actually enabled a coalition of powerful special interests to convince nearly everyone in the world that CO2 from human industry was a dangerous, planet-destroying toxin.”
Ten mainly eastern European EU members rejected moves tointensify carbon emissionproposals and the issue has been deferred for a year.
Trump does what he says he would do – a rarity among conventional political wheeler-dealers who populate the leadership of almost every other country - by withdrawing from theParis Agreement, which he can formally commence on Nov. 4. Meanwhile, anti-Trump state governments are pursuing carbon emission lawsuits to tie up wealth producers like Exxon, while theswamp mediaseeks tovilifythe firm for allocating the 0.4 per cent of its gifting expenditure to think tanks.
Californiais facing fires and blackouts as a result of its environmental policies that prevent utilities from clearing vegetation under power lines. The already bankrupt electricity utilities get the blame and have to pay compensation. Former GovernorJerry Brown, of course, blames Trump because, likePolitico, he sees the fires as evidence of global warming. The facts are thatacreage burnshave been reduced over the past century.
Chuck Schumer, the top Senate Democrat, proposed a$454 billionplan with cash vouchers to shift a quarter of the US car fleet to electric. Small beer compared toElizabeth Warren’s100 per cent Clean Energy plan which she optimistically costs at a little over twice that.
Fancy dress couturier, Justin Trudeau, lost the Canadian election but voters elected an even greater number of carbonistas andTrudeaupromises that the new government will travel further along the path of carbon taxes and regulations against fossil fuels.
Chileansare in open revolt against carbon tax-generated price rises. The catalyst was Santiago Metro fares increases, introduced despite falling oil and gasoline prices, because its energy sources were largely switchedfrom conventional power to wind and solar power. The Chilean government also hit the portion of conventional power that remains withnew carbon dioxide taxes.It has now backed out of hosting the next international climate conference (called COP 25) that was scheduled for December.
New Zealand’s government under green Prime Minister, Jacinda Ardern has better survival instincts. It has excusedfarmers, responsible for half of the nation’s emissions, from any cuts until at least 2025.
Pierre Desrochers and Joanna Szurmak remind us thateco-catastrophiansare not new. As agricultural economist Dennis Avery, said soil erosion ‘has been threatening since man scratched the first seedbed with a stick’ and in 1948, ecologist William Vogt published hisRoad to Survival, the biggest-selling environmentalist book until Rachel Carson’sSilent Springin 1962. Vogt argued that, with rare exceptions, man had ‘taken the bounty of the earth and made little or no return’. Then came the Club of Rome and subsequent fixation on climate change, now the mainstream view, its proponents having marched through the government, educational and business institutions.
Developments in Economics
Household electricity prices collected byGlobal Pricesfor March 2019 –Sept have Australian prices, propelled by government policies, in a leadership role at 25 US cents/kWh compared with India and China (8 cents), Canada (moving in Australia’s direction) on 11 cents, the US on 14 cents (much less in many parts). Nuclear powered France is 19 cents – though Germany’s Energiewende “transition” gives it prices at 36 cents.
Australia’sChair of the Energy Security Board,Kerry Schott, has scolded the government for seeking to intervene in energy supply but has supported all such past interventions that subsidised the renewables which have undermined the formerly low cost, reliable system.
Chinauses more coal than the rest of the world combined and is opening 17 new mines.
Britainis being chided for having the highest per capita net importer of CO2. That is what happens when countries de-industrialise but try to avoid reducing their living standards.
The warmist Paris-based IEA has, in the past, published books some of which give balanced views on climate change matters. IEArejected the Guardian’s requesttoburndelete these.
Booming global food production doesn’t deter serial alarmist and giantcarbon footprintowner, Al Gore, from warning that climate change is creating imminentshortages. Another celebrity fruitcake,Prince Charles, exhorts the City of London to invest trillions of pounds in green investments to promote sustainability – and impoverish his subjects!
In an interesting twist, CO2 induced climate change, nee Global Warming, according to aUniversity of Chicago studycould start a new ice age by increasing Antarctica’s snow!
Extinction Rebellion’sfounderseeks flight bans after 11K-mile flight for narcotics fuelled luxury break. Is anyone, other than her child soldiers, surprised?
Proving how inventive warmists can be in excusing the inadequacies of their favoured technology, wind/solar dependentAlice Springsblames a recent blackout on a cloud!
During the month I published articles
In theSpectatoron why we should be afraid of rising fuel costs, not climate claims
In Quadrant on how regulatory measures have ledAustralia to fallin the global wealth and income league tables.
Also inQuadrantthe new interventions by the Australian Government to strengthen transmission capacity that attempt to reduce the adverse reliability outcomes of its subsidies to renewables.
InThe Australianon how governments, blinded by false claims of climate-driven lower rainfall, have cut irrigators access to water bringing severe distress to the area responsible for over 40 per cent of the nation’s agricultural output.
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