Saturday, 25 May 2019

Global Warming Slowdown- or hiatus (peer-reviewed.)

Wood for Trees

Although the ALARMISTS try to deny it, since 1998, there has been no significant global warming,

A peer-reviewed paper published in Nature Communications by Johnson et al (Nature Communications 9, Article number: 1724) includesin its Abstract:
The recent levelling of global mean temperatures after the late 1990s, the so-called global warming hiatus or slowdown, ignited a surge of scientific interest into natural global mean surface temperature variability, observed temperature biases, and climate communication, but many questions remain about how these findings relate to variations in more societally relevant temperature extremes.
Oh1 The levelling of global mean temperatures?  

YEP!  Levelling....er that means, doesn't it?.....NOT WARMING!

Back to the Abstract:

Here we show that both summertime warm and wintertime cold extreme occurrences increased over land during the so-called hiatus period...
Yep,

Read More - here 

OH! And a couple more Peer-reviewed papers:

Global mean sea level rise during the recent warming hiatus from satellite-based data
Yes, another peer-reviewed paper confirming the global warming hiatus.

Weak Cooling of Cold Extremes Versus Continued Warming of Hot Extremes in China During the Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus



Abstract: ...warming hiatus in China after 1998
YEP! There it is again, in peer reviewed journals,

Global Surface Warming Hiatus

but the alarmists, the deniers of true science, say that temperatures continue to rise.

When will they ever learn? When will they admit that the #agwFraud has been busted?


volume 9, Article number: 1724 (2018

Human CO2 does not cause climate change.

Previously this blog has presented Dr Ed Berry's preliminary paper: (link)

Human CO2 emissions not responsible for increase in atmospheric CO2. Therefore climate change is natural.

Now Dr Ed has a book in pre-print stage and has revealed the Introduction  to the Book:


Introduction to my forthcoming book

Click here to read this online or comment

by Ed Berry, Ph.D., Physics, CCM
Human CO2 does not cause climate change. High-school level science shows why human CO2 has an insignificant effect on atmospheric CO2. Therefore nature, not human CO2 emissions, is the true cause of climate change.

Climate alarmists produce endless lists of bad things they claim climate change causes. They think their claims are “proof” that human CO2 causes climate change. But results do not prove their cause. Only science can determine the cause of climate change.

What Feynman taught

Nobel Physicist Richard Feynman taught his students how to test a theory of cause and effect:The first principle is to not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool.
  1. To test your theory, you must use your theory to make a prediction. If your prediction disagrees with data, your theory is wrong. In that simple statement is the key to science.
  2. It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is. It does not matter how smart you are, or who you work for, or what degrees you have, or how many publications you have, or how much money you have, … If your prediction disagrees with data, your theory is wrong.
  3. It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is. It does not matter how smart you are, or who you work for, or what degrees you have, or how many publications you have, or how much money you have, … If your prediction disagrees with data, your theory is wrong.
If science does not test theories, it is not science. True science eliminates theories that make false predictions. The truth is in what is left after you eliminate bad theories.

Politics versus truth

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the United States Global Change Research Program (USGCRP), the United States National Climate Assessment (NCA) claim human CO2 causes dangerous climate change. Their theory makes invalid predictions. Their science is flawed and fundamentally wrong.

The theory that human CO2 causes dangerous climate change is built on a foundation of sand. Those who promote this theory have not followed the scientific method. As Feynman warned, they have fooled themselves.

The proof that the alarmist theory is wrong is so simple that a judge and a jury can understand it. Smart attorneys can use this proof to win lawsuits against those who claim human CO2 changes climate.

Human CO2 emissions do not change atmospheric CO2 enough to change the climate. Nature controls climate and efforts to reduce human CO2 emissions is a waste of time and money.

Money, money, money

Climate alarmists want America to spend another trillion dollars on climate research, focused, of course, on supporting their cause. The United Nations and the US government have already done this and failed. Their game is over. Their theory is wrong.

A trillion US dollars is a lot of money. For comparison, conservative politicians estimate two trillion dollars would dramatically rebuild America’s roads, bridges, buildings, and internet communication system.

This book gives you the power to
  • save America and free nations over one trillion US dollars.
  • repeal laws and regulations that are based on the false belief that human emissions cause climate change.
  • restore common sense and sanity to public climate discussions.
  • counter the climate madness spread by money, media, and environmental organizations.
  • make our schools and universities teach climate truth rather than climate hysteria.
  • educate voters and elect candidates who understand that human CO2 does not change the climate.
The May 2019 Australian national election showed how climate policy can decide major elections. The Wall Street Journal Opinion reported:
"If American Democrats want a warning about the consequences of embracing the Green New Deal, look no further than Saturday’s election shocker in Australia. The opposition center-left Labor Party had led in the polls for months but lost as voters rejected its move left on taxes, spending and above all on climate change."
https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-climate-change-drubbing-in-australia-11558283558

Who should care about climate science? 

Probably you. Whether you like it or not, you are a vote on which road your country will take. Will it be climate truth or climate fiction? The road your country takes will make a giant difference to you, your family, and your country.

Do you want science truth to prevail over politics? Do you want abundant, low-cost energy rather than high-cost, unreliable energy? Do you want climate sanity? Do you want a strong national defense to protect your freedom?

If so, then you will want to read this book.

(Ed Berry, of Bigfork, Montana, has a Ph.D. in theoretical physics with minors in atmospheric physics and math.)


Science's Untold Scandal: The Lockstep March of Professional Societies to Promote the Climate Change Scare

 BY TOM HARRIS AND DR. JAY LEHR

First Published PJ Media  MAY 24, 2019(Link)

Climate Change
(Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay)
When we started our careers, it was considered an honor to be a member of professional societies that helped practitioners keep up with the latest developments in their fields through relevant meetings and publications. Senior author Dr. Jay Lehr had the privilege of leading one of these societies long ago.

But things are different now. Whether it be chemistry, physics, geology or engineering, many of the world’s primary professional societies have changed from being paragons of technical virtue to opportunistic groups focused on maximizing their members' financial gains in support of the climate scare, the world’s greatest science fraud. In particular, they continue to promote the groundless hypothesis that carbon dioxide emitted as a result of mankind’s use of fossil fuels is leading to environmental catastrophe. You have been hearing about it for the past decade and more, with 21 candidates for the Democratic nomination for the presidency in the next election promoting some form of a Green New Deal—a plan to eliminate the use of fossil fuels and replace them with wind and solar power thereby returning society to the lifestyle of the 1880s.
Dr. Patrick Moore, a co-founder of Greenpeace, wrote in 1994 that radical greens had taken over the organization after the fall of the Berlin Wall, leaving him no choice but to resign. The takeover of environmental institutions by extremists is now almost complete, the most important of which may be the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). President Donald Trump is aggressively trying to win back the EPA in the best interests of the nation, but it is an uphill battle as the climate cult has also taken control of academia, political parties, and governments themselves.

An example of how professional societies have apparently been hijacked by extremists concerns the Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta, Canada (APEGA). Allan MacRae, a prominent long-time member of APEGA, was named to receive its most distinguished lifetime achievement award in 2019. Then APEGA staff learned that MacRae had written publicly about the damage done to humanity and the environment by radical greens. APEGA leadership strongly condemned his comments and his award was withdrawn. It led MacRae to write “Hypothesis: Radical Greens are the Great Killers of Our Age," which explains the APEGA award withdrawal and to support his contention that radical greens have done enormous harm to humanity and the environment with their destructive, misguided policies. MacRae writes, “APEGA refused to discuss the evidence, and baselessly claimed the moral high ground.”
One commenter responding to MacRae’s essay posed a question, the answer to which tells an important story: “How did the Greens get control of APEGA?” Another commenter answered:
The same way they have taken over every other professional organization.  The actual members are too busy building their careers and actually working in the field to spend much time worrying about the day to day operation of the organization. As a result, they are taken over by lawyers and activists whose interest is in pushing their own agenda, not advancing science for humanity.
Another reader commented:
"The long march through the Institutions" as proposed by the Frankfurt school back in the 1930s was launched knowing it would be a generations long policy. Here we are three generations on and they have now taken control of all the western institutions as planned. The socialists do not stop just because their prime construct, the USSR failed in 1990. They regard that failure as simply work in progress. The climate as a tool which can never be tamed, was a genuine piece of strategic genius by the COGS (constantly offended green socialists). They will not stop. The destruction of humanity is too big a prize, they view this activity as pressing the Earth’s reset button.
The same thing is happening in the United States, where feathers were really ruffled at the American Physical Society (APS) when Dr. Hal Lewis, emeritus professor of Physics at the University of California, sent his resignation letter to the Society after being a member for 67 years. In his letter, he described the joy of working with brilliant physicists for decades, when no one expected to get rich in this field. Lewis explained how studies done within the society had effective oversight that enabled members to stake their reputations on the work of the organization. He said that has all now changed. Open dialogue has disappeared and all organization policies follow the new politics of the organization leadership rather than the membership. It is apparently focused on the money that accrues to the organization and its members by going along with popular concerns.
Lewis’ letter can be found here. A telling quote from that letter follows:
It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave.  It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone that has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents which lay it bare.
Lewis went on to state that he recruited over 200 members of APS to oppose the new APS policy that fully supports the global warming fraud. Their request for a hearing on the issue was completely ignored.

On March 31, 2019, the American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE) issued a press release announcing the launch of The Climate Solutions Community, a broad committee to identify viable solutions to mitigate, adapt, and become resilient to the effects of climate change. They totally buy into the dangerous man-made climate change hypothesis with no consideration of alternative points of view. AIChE’s description of their efforts highlight the fact that employment can be gained for their members as a result of the climate scare.
The Geological Society of America (GSA) has fallen into the same trap. In April 2015, GSA issued a Position Statement asserting that:
Human activities (mainly greenhouse-gas emissions) are the dominant cause of the rapid warming since the middle 1900s (IPCC, 2013). If the upward trend in greenhouse-gas concentrations continues, the projected global climate change by the end of the twenty first century will result in significant impacts on humans and other species.
The GSA backs up the statement with vague evidence from paleoclimates and offers their full support for the reports of the widely discredited United Nations International Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC).

As is evident from the process described on the GSA Position Statement FAQs web page, the full membership of GSA is not polled after the development of Position Statements. Consequently, it is unknown what fraction of the membership actually support the final statement. However, clearly, GSA leadership recognize that such a position offers employment to many of their members trained in geology.

The lockstep march of professional societies in support of climate alarmism has been going on for years. For example, fellow of the Royal Society of Canada (RSC) and a leading Canadian energy expert, the late “Archie” Robertson of Deep River, Ontario, explained in the April 28, 2006, edition of the National Post what happened in Canada:
To claim that the IPCC-2001 assessment was “supported by the Royal Society of Canada” is stretching the truth. Prior to last year’s Montreal conference, the president of the Royal Society of London, whose manner of promoting Kyoto has been criticized, drafted a resolution in favour and circulated it to other academies of science inviting co-signing. The Canadian Academy of Science is one of three academies within the Royal Society of Canada (the other are from the humanities). The president of the RSC, not a member of the Academy of Science, received the invitation. He considered it consistent with the position of the great majority of scientists, as repeatedly but erroneously claimed by Kyoto proponents, and so signed it. The resolution was not referred to the Academy of Science for comment, not even to its council or president (I learned this when, as a member of the Academy of Science, I inquired into the basis for the RSC supporting the resolution).
A similar episode happened in the United States and Russia concerning The Royal Society initiative. Pronouncements from other science bodies are often just the opinions of the groups’ executives or committees specifically appointed by the executive. The rank and file scientist members are rarely consulted at all.

Past IPCC lead author Dr. Richard Lindzen, professor emeritus of the Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology,  explained the problems with a previous National Academy of Sciences report here and concluded: “there is no consensus, unanimous or otherwise, about long-term climate trends and what causes them.”

All of this seriously damages the image of these once-respected professional societies in the eyes of both the public and the membership.

The climate cult that has taken over the environmental movement has never been about the environment. It has always been a mechanism to advance socialism, grow government, reduce individual rights, reduce human population, and ignore the human suffering and environmental damage their policies cause. Activists promoting this anti-human, anti-environment agenda appear to suffer emotional and psychological problems which they seem to deal with by attempting to make others miserable.

On April 27, 1961, at a speech in New York City, President John F. Kennedy said:
We are opposed around the world by a monolithic and ruthless conspiracy that relies primarily on covert means for expanding its sphere of influence - on infiltration instead of invasion, on subversion instead of elections, on intimidation instead of free choice, on guerrillas by night instead of armies by day. It is a system which has conscripted vast human and material resources into the building of a tightly knit, highly efficient machine that combines military, diplomatic, intelligence, economic, scientific and political operations.
Those words describe socialism, a system sold as Utopia. It appears that a yearning for Utopia never dies, because it springs from innate spiritual qualities of humanity. But as we have seen in every instance of national-scale socialist "Utopias" such as Cuba, China, Russia, and Venezuela, the result is inevitably suffering, scarcity, environmental degradation, oppression, and death. Truth, reason, and logic are the first values sacrificed along the way. Professional Societies must stop supporting it.
______________________________________________________________
Dr. Jay Lehr is Senior Policy Analyst with of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC). Tom Harris is Executive Director of ICSC.