Friday, 30 August 2019

The Coming Climate Change Propaganda Tsunami


(Photo by Bob Blob on Unsplash)

Originally published by PJ Media (link)


Batten down the hatches! Yet another tsunami of global warming and “clean energy” propaganda is approaching!

On September 23, United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres will host the 2019 Climate Action Summit at UN headquarters. Guterres is calling on all leaders to come to New York City with “concrete, realistic plans” to increase their greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction pledges “in line with reducing GHG emissions by 45 per cent over the next decade, and to net zero emissions by 2050.”

The goal is to “hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C”, lessen sea level rise, reduce extreme weather, and other impossible objectives. The UN warns:
[T]he last four years were the four hottest on record, and winter temperatures in the Arctic have risen by 3°C since 1990. Sea levels are rising, coral reefs are dying, and we are starting to see the life-threatening impact of climate change on health, through air pollution, heatwaves and risks to food security.”
This is all either nonsense or irrelevant (for example, sea level has been rising, at times much faster than today, for the past 15,000 years). But this won’t stop civil society, businesses, organizations, youth and other representatives from the public at large from joining heads of states and government from UN member states at the summit in demanding that we make “massive movements in the real economy in support of the [climate change] agenda,” to quote from the summit website. Currently sailing across the Atlantic on her way to address the conference is 16-year old Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg in what she erroneously dubs a "zero-carbon" yacht. Thunberg is being brought in to help the U.S. climate delusion movement and to recruit more well-meaning but naive children into its ranks. 
To prime the public to be ready to accept their demands, we can expect increasingly dire announcements about the supposed climate catastrophe unfolding around us. Since, as Mark Twain is credited with saying, "A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes," let’s get a bit ahead of the game and start to debunk one of the claims that is almost certain to come out next week.

Just as at the end of July, we will likely soon hear that August temperatures either set a record or were close to it. But an examination of the problems with the July ‘record’ will help us defuse this claim even before it is made. For "global temperature" records are generally meaningless, and the one for last month is especially so.

Strictly speaking, it is no more meaningful to calculate the average temperature for the whole planet than it is to calculate the average telephone number in a phone book. Like viscosity and density, and of course phone numbers, temperature is not something that can be meaningfully averaged. “Global temperature” does not exist.
In their award-winning book, Taken by Storm (2007), Canadian researchers Dr. Christopher Essex and Dr. Ross McKitrick explain: 
“Temperature is not an amount of something [like height or weight]. It is a number that represents the condition of a physical system. In thermodynamics it is known as an intensive quantity, in contrast to quantities like energy, which have an additive property, which we call extensive in thermodynamics.”

Even if you could calculate some sort of meaningful global temperature statistic, and indeed, if you did, interpreting its significance would be difficult, the figure would be unimportant. No one and nothing would experience it directly since we all live in relatively small regions, not the globe. There is no superbeing straddling the planet, detecting global averages in temperature. Global warming does not matter.
And, of course, it was only 1978 when we launched satellites to determine the temperature distribution of our atmosphere. Up until then, and still mostly today, we collect temperatures around the globe in a rather spotty and often inaccurate manner. When meteorologist Anthony Watts went about obtaining photographs of 1200 temperature stations in the United States, the best-covered area in the world, he found that about 80% were near useless because of their proximity to objects that bias the readings, such as air conditioning units, highways, and operating equipment. They were likely not present when the stations were first established, but they rendered many of the readings to that point useless.
Reporting for RealClear Energy, James Taylor, senior fellow, Environment and Energy Policy, for the Arlington, Illinois-based Heartland Institutedescribes the results of the new (since January 2005) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Reference Network (USCRN). USCRN includes 114 well-located and maintained temperature stations spaced relatively uniformly across the lower 48 states. Taylor writes: "USCRN temperature stations show no warming since 2005 when the network went online. If anything, U.S. temperatures are now slightly cooler than they were 14 years ago [see graph below, where temperature is in degrees Fahrenheit on the left]."
Taylor concludes: “Climate crisis advocates attempt to dismiss the minor satellite-measured warming by utilizing ground temperature stations around the globe, which tend to have even more corrupting biases and problems than the old U.S. stations.”

There are, of course, huge regions of the Earth that have no land surface temperature data at all. There is very little data for the 70 percent of Earth’s surface that is ocean. There is also little data for mountainous and desert regions, not to mention the Antarctic. And, despite the fact that NOAA claimed that central, equatorial Africa was much hotter than usual in July (see first figure below), in reality they had practically no data for the region at all (see second figure below). The high central African temperatures were merely extrapolated from data measured hundreds of miles away.
Meteorologist Anthony Watts explained one of the problems with this approach:
When station data is used to extrapolate over distance, any errors in the source data will get magnified and spread over a large area.
For example, say the nearest station is 400 miles away, at an airport in a city, but they are trying to use that data to extrapolate for the African savannah. The are basically adding the Urban Heat Island of the city to a wide area of the Savanah.
As an illustration, Watts contrasts a July temperature map of 250 KM "smoothing radius" with one with 1200 KM "smoothing radius." The first (the first figure below) does not extrapolate temperature data over much of the African savannah (where little real data exists) and results in a global temperature anomaly of 0.88°C. The second (the second figure below), which extends over the Savanah, results in a global temperature anomaly of 0.92°C.
Watts concludes, “Statistically induced warming is not real.”
Regardless, the hot spot NOAA computed for central equatorial Africa is almost certainly imaginary since, as climate data analyst Tony Heller said, "NOAA shows July record heat in Central Africa, in regions which UAH [University of Alabama at Huntsville] satellite data showed close to or slightly above normal" (see figure below).
 As if that were not enough to dismiss the whole "warmest month ever" arguments, a quick look at the temperature data on the NOAA web site tells us that none of their grand announcements make any sense. Consider first that, according to NOAA, July 2019 set the record of the warmest month by 0.03°C for combined global land and ocean surface temperature. But the uncertainty is listed as 0.17°C, or almost six times the amount by which the record was supposedly set. In fact, July 2018, 2017, 2016 and 2015 all fall within the 0.17°C error bar of July 2019. Therefore, we cannot know which year set the record.
We also sense something fishy is going on when we notice that the July 2019 temp anomaly at 0.95°C above the 20th-century average is exactly (to the second decimal place) the same as the year to date (YTD) temperature anomaly. Unbelievably, it is also exactly the same, 0.95°C, for June and the YTD for June. Four numbers all the same to the second decimal point. How is that possible? It is as if someone in the agency decided that it would be easier for media to get it right if all these numbers were exactly the same. And so, apparently, they made it so.
The public needs to take a highly skeptical view of the inevitable dire warnings that we will soon see in advance of the 2019 Climate Action Summit. The real goal has more to do with restricting our freedom, in particular, our access to inexpensive fossil fuels.
______________________________________________
Tom Harris is Executive Director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC) and a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute. Dr. Jay Lehr is Senior Policy Analyst with ICSC and former Science Director of Heartland.

Thursday, 29 August 2019

Energy & Environmental Newsletter: August 29, 2019

By   

August 29, 2019

The Alliance for Wise Energy Decisions (AWED) is an informal coalition of individuals and organizations interested in improving national, state, and local energy and environmental policies. Our premise is that technical matters like these should be addressed by using Real Science (please consult WiseEnergy.org for more information).

A key element of AWED’s efforts is public education. Towards that end, every three weeks we put together a newsletter to balance what is found in the mainstream media about energy and the environment. We appreciate MasterResource for their assistance in publishing this information.
Some of the more important articles in this issue are:
China has slashed clean energy funding by 39%, leading a global decline
China switches $1B in ‘green’ finance to coal projects in first half of the year
The Misanthropic Bankers Behind the Green New Deal
How Elon Musk Fooled Investors, Bilked Taxpayers, etc.
General Electric shares tank following accusation of ‘bigger fraud than Enron’
NY Offshore Wind bids rigged for unions
Wind Turbines Can Cause Sickness, Say Public Health Officials
Wind Turbines and Adverse Health Effects: A Cardiologist’s View
Duke Energy study points finger at solar for increased pollution
The Environmental Disaster of Solar Energy
The Dark Side of China’s Solar Boom
Explaining Wind Turbine Lethality
Utility Studies delay both Wind and Solar Projects in the US Northeast
Renewable Energy Hits the Wall
Why Wind and Solar Aren’t Enough
Big Wind’s Big Headwinds
Wind Project is Trespassing
Physics Professor: Turbines could compromise radar signals
Short Video: The Green Real Deal
China and India Will Watch the West Destroy Itself
The Latest Travesty in “Consensus” Enforcement
Re-evaluating the manufacture of the climate consensus
Dr Roy Spencer: How the Media Help to Destroy Rational Climate Debate
Superior Video: Global Warming — Fact or Fiction
Dr. Tim Ball wins Dr. Michael Mann lawsuit
Frontal Assault on Our Standard of Living: Multi-billionaires Are Financing ‘Climate Protectors’!
See how climate science becomes alarmist propaganda
Climate Change Discussions Need to Include A Few Cold Facts
The Climate Change Crisis Racket
Ice-pack of Lies
The Great Failure of Climate Computer Models
Global Warming? Climate Doomsayers Are The Problem
Exposing radical UN sustainability conference
Greed Energy Economics:
Renewable Health Matters:
Renewable Energy Destroying Ecosystems:
Nuclear Energy:
Gas for Electrical Energy:
Offshore Wind Energy:
Wind Energy and Blackouts:
Miscellaneous Energy News:
Utility Studies delay both Wind and Solar Projects in the US Northeast
Renewable Energy Hits the Wall
Why Wind and Solar Aren’t Enough
Big Wind’s Big Headwinds
Wind Project is Trespassing
Physics Professor: Turbines could compromise radar signals
Short Video: The Green Real Deal
China and India Will Watch the West Destroy Itself
Developing nations surging energy use shatters UN & California’s climate crusade
Michael Moore and His Turn Against Renewable Energy
President Trump and Film-maker Moore Join Forces Against Renewables
Wind Power Is Collapsing In Germany
Climate change turns Arctic into strategic, economic hotspot
Alaska Oil Drilling: Here They Go Again
Bernie Sanders: Prosecute fossil fuel execs as criminals
Wind developer reveals a problem — not enough wind
Trump Says He’s Unwilling to Risk U.S. Energy Wealth for Windmill ‘Dreams’
The Physical Impossibility of Renewables Meeting Energy Goals
Sedgwick County (KS) bans wind farms, restricts commercial solar
Walmart sues Tesla over string of solar panel fires at its stores
Manmade Global Warming Articles:
The Latest Travesty in “Consensus” Enforcement
Re-evaluating the manufacture of the climate consensus
Dr Roy Spencer: How the Media Help to Destroy Rational Climate Debate
Superior Video: Global Warming — Fact or Fiction
Dr. Tim Ball wins Dr. Michael Mann lawsuit
Frontal Assault on Our Standard of Living: Multi-billionaires Are Financing ‘Climate Protectors’!
See how climate science becomes alarmist propaganda
Climate Change Discussions Need to Include A Few Cold Facts
The Climate Change Crisis Racket
Ice-pack of Lies
The Great Failure of Climate Computer Models
Global Warming? Climate Doomsayers Are The Problem
Exposing radical UN sustainability conference
No Evidence That Climate Change Causes Weather Extremes: (5) Wildfires
No Evidence That Climate Change Causes Weather Extremes: (6) Heat Waves
Geologist: Four Part Analysis of the Climate Change Issue
Navy quietly ends climate change task force, reversing Obama initiative
Global Warming? An Israeli Astrophysicist Provides Alternative View That Is Not Easy To Reject
Podcast: Optimism In The Face Of The “Bad News Industry”
Blacklist by Nature follows defamation by BioScience: journals reject ethics of science
Don’t Burn Trees to Fight Climate Change—Let Them Grow
‘Hottest Temps Ever’

Monday, 19 August 2019

Facebook's FALSE RATING of content. SHAME!


As many will know, Australian Climate Sceptics runs a FaceBook page in support of this blog.

Mick Garcia is a major contributor to the Australian Climate Sceptics FaceBook page.

Recently, the people at Facebook have been ERASING pages  (see above) with the heading

False writing on content shared in Australian climate sceptics group. 
A member of Australian climate sceptics group shared content that's been rated false by science feedback.
There does not seem to be an avenue to dispute these Facebook claims of "False" writing.
Nor does anyone know who are the anonymous "science feedback" people.

Strange, non-scientific Facebook(FB) output. Surely, science is the discussion of ideas, not closing down an idea that you don't agree with.

I hope that the FB gurus trust NASA. I don't, but that is a different story.

So these anonymous "non-scientific" FB gurus rated Mick Garcia's post as FALSE.

What was his post?



It was:

https://electroverse.net/nasa-predicts-next-solar-cycle-will-be-lowest-in-200-years-dalton-minimum-levels-the-implications/

And I suppose the "science" FB feedback didn't know so dismissed the page ELECTROVERSE.NET but didn't go any further.

Do your work, Facebook!

Do your work, FaceBook's anonymous "science" feedback.

If it was on a NASA page, would you have accepted it? Did you try to see if it was really on a NASA page?

Or did you just remove it, without any chance of the page monitors to justify its inclusion?

The error that ELECTROVERSE made was not to include a link to the source.

The error that FACEBOOK made was not to check a link to the source. (LINK)

The Sun's activity rises and falls in an 11-year cycle. The forecast for the next solar cycle says it will be the weakest of the last 200 years. The maximum of this next cycle – measured in terms of sunspot number, a standard measure of solar activity level – could be 30 to 50% lower than the most recent one. The results show that the next cycle will start in 2020 and reach its maximum in 2025
Here's is the LINK, Facebook. Now, when are you going to, like REAL SCIENCE, allow your anonymous "science" gurus to be challenged?



Sunday, 18 August 2019

Warped IPCC Charter


Opinion:  Case Smit

We are encouraged to believe that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the ultimate authority on all matters to do with the global climate.  However, the IPCC Charter requires it to report only on the magnitude of man-made climate change.  In other words, the IPCC is not required to look at all the natural factors that undoubtably also affect our climate. 
Planetary orbits and their gravitational interactions affect the sun, whose magnetic field controls the intensity of cosmic rays hitting the earth’s atmosphere.  Cosmic rays have a profound influence on the earth’s cloud cover, a major influence on our climate.
Together with the moon, these gravitational effects flex the earth’s crust causing tectonic movements (earthquakes) and volcanic activity.  Terrestrial volcanoes spew enormous quantities of dust and gases into the atmosphere, far exceeding anthropogenic contributions.  There are 40 -50 volcanoes, world-wide, erupting at any one time. 
There are also hundreds of sub-sea volcanoes injecting heat (and gases) into the oceans.  Recent research suggests that these, together with the continuous heat transfer from the earth’s mantle, affect ocean currents and temperatures and hence the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon.  The CO2 balance with the atmosphere is very dependent on ocean temperatures.
This exclusion of natural influences explains why almost all IPCC global temperature projections have proved to be wrong; it also explains why carbon dioxide is touted as the only significant climate influence, explaining the obsession with limiting CO2 emissions.
A thorough, independent investigation of these issues would likely confirm the above and save our governments the billions of dollars currently spent on “climate action”.