All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Saturday, 25 February 2017

Peer reviewed study: We Know What Really Causes Climate Change (And It Has Nothing To Do With Human Beings)

Occurrence of interglacials over the past 800,000 years.
As reported by the Daily Wire:

A new study produced by a University of Wisconsin-Madison geoscientist and Northwestern astrophysicist presents an explanation of the fluctuations of the earth's temperatures that global warming alarmists are going to make sure to bury: The cycle of changes in the climate over the millennia is a result of changes in the amount of solar radiation, in part caused by small changes in the orbits of Earth and Mars. 
While the notion that the impact on earth's orbital cycle on solar radiation levels is the most significant factor determining global temperatures is anything but new, the team of scientists have reportedly tied the phenomenon to planetary orbits in a more concrete manner than previous studies.
Not only does the new discovery promise to provide a better understanding of "the mechanics of the solar system," but also "a better understanding of the link between orbital variations and climate change over geologic time scales." 





A simple rule to determine which insolation cycles lead to interglacials (LINK)


Received
 
Accepted
 
Published online
 

The pacing of glacial–interglacial cycles during the Quaternary period (the past 2.6 million years) is attributed to astronomically driven changes in high-latitude insolation. However, it has not been clear how astronomical forcing translates into the observed sequence of interglacials. Here we show that before one million years ago interglacials occurred when the energy related to summer insolation exceeded a simple threshold, about every 41,000 years. Over the past one million years, fewer of these insolation peaks resulted in deglaciation (that is, more insolation peaks were ‘skipped’), implying that the energy threshold for deglaciation had risen, which led to longer glacials. However, as a glacial lengthens, the energy needed for deglaciation decreases. A statistical model that combines these observations correctly predicts every complete deglaciation of the past million years and shows that the sequence of interglacials that has occurred is one of a small set of possibilities. The model accounts for the dominance of obliquity-paced glacial–interglacial cycles early in the Quaternary and for the change in their frequency about one million years ago. We propose that the appearance of larger ice sheets over the past million years was a consequence of an increase in the deglaciation threshold and in the number of skipped insolation peaks.
H/t Climate Depot

Friday, 24 February 2017

Help Climate Scientists avoid Personal CO2 Emissions



Eric Worrall

Imagine the pangs of conscience the Alarmist Scientists feel about their personal carbon footprints, as they jet about trying to save the world.

When climate scientists have full-time access to world class video conferencing technology, they will be able to avoid attending all those climate conferences in person. Climate scientists will be able to avoid the mind-numbing guilt they must currently feel about their personal carbon footprints, as they soar above our heads flying on CO2 belching jet aircraft to attend all those climate conferences.

Eric Worrall has created a petition to help these scientists.

Please take the time to show you care. Sign the Petition, and if you have time, leave a personal message of support for our hard working jetset climate community.
Don’t forget to send the petition to your friends, so they can sign as well.

Please sign the change.org petition, Help Climate Scientists avoid Personal CO2 Emissions.

Wednesday, 22 February 2017

Prof Judith Curry points out flaws in GCMs


Professor Judith A. Curry is the author of over 180 scientific papers on weather and climate and is a recipient of the Henry G. Houghton Research Award from the American Meteorological Society in 1992. She recently retired from the Georgia Institute of Technology, where she held the positions of Professor and Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences. She is currently President of Climate Forecast Applications Network.

She has written a paper on the flaws in Global Climate Models (GCMs) (link) which has been published by GWPF.

Executive Summary

There is considerable debate over the fidelity and utility of global climate models (GCMs). This debate occurs within the community of climate scientists, who disagree about the amount of weight to give to climate models relative to observational analyses. GCM outputs are also used by economists, regulatory agencies and policymakers, so GCMs have received considerable scrutiny from a broader community of scientists, engineers, software experts, and philosophers of science. This report attempts to describe the debate surrounding GCMs to an educated but nontechnical audience.

Key summary points

  • GCMs have not been subject to the rigorous verification and validation that is the norm for engineering and regulatory science. 
  • There are valid concerns about a fundamental lack of predictability in the complex nonlinear climate system. 
  • There are numerous arguments supporting the conclusion that climate models are not fit for the purpose of identifying with high confidence the proportion of the 20th-century warming that was human-caused as opposed to natural. 
  • There is growing evidence that climate models predict too much warming from increased atmospheric carbon dioxide. 
  • The climate model simulation results for the 21st century reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) do not include key elements of climate variability and hence are not useful as projections for how the 21st-century climate will actually evolve. 


Climate models are useful tools for conducting scientific research to understand the climate system. However, the above points support the conclusion that current GCMs are not fit for the purpose of attributing the causes of 20th-century warming or for predicting global or regional climate change on timescales of decades to centuries, with any high level of confidence. By extension, GCMs are not fit for the purpose of justifying political policies to fundamentally alter world social, economic and energy systems. It is this application of climate model results that fuels the vociferousness of the debate surrounding climate models. (bold added)

Read Full paper HERE

Tuesday, 21 February 2017

Naomi Klein admits that it’s not about carbon—it’s about capitalism.

Former Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Christiana Figueres gave the game away when she issued a press release admitting that their
aim is not to save the world from ecological calamity but to destroy capitalism.


Naomi Klein in her latest book: This Changes Everything admits something very similar: (link)
Forget everything you think you know about global warming. The really inconvenient truth is that it’s not about carbon—it’s about capitalism. The convenient truth is that we can seize this existential crisis to transform our failed economic system and build something radically better.
AND it certainly isn't about Carbon dioxide.



Friday, 17 February 2017

MSM catches up with ACS blog on Entomophagy

Image: Startup
NBC News is catching up with our blog:

How Crickets Could Help Save the Planet
Edible insects are a viable, untapped resource that could help meet the food and water demands of the world's ever-expanding population. And it's really no wonder: Insects are highly nutritious, and also far more environmentally friendly to raise than conventional livestock. Compared with cows, pigs, or chickens, crickets require a fraction of the land, water, and food, and produce less greenhouse gases and ammonia.

Gee, we wrote a post (TIC) in September 2014

Eat Insects and save the Earth from Global Warming

It's good to see at least one of the MSM is catching up with the Australian Climate Sceptics.




Footnote:

Entomophagy is the human use of insects as food.

Global Warming/Cooling at Nobbys

Nobbys Head Picture: Wikipedia
Working on another project, I needed a record of the temperatures at Nobby's Head. Anthony Cox provided the following Bureau of Meteorology link for Average Monthly Mean Maximum temperatures for Nobbys from 1862 to 2016:

Mean Maximum Temperature

Nobbys is a headland located at the Southern Entrance to Newcastle Harbour, New South Wales.

My project was for February and so, with the help of an Excel spreadsheet, I plotted each year and then plotted an average for each decade.


When Graphed the data look like this:


If there has been global warming, it certainly has bypassed Newcastle.

Thursday, 16 February 2017

On-Air Weathercasters views on Climate Change

2016 national survey of broadcast meteorologists

A survey of 646 Broadcast Meteorologists:

Selected Findings (Page 3 of report)

Views of climate change:

  • Nearly all weathercasters (over 99%) think climate change – as defined by the American Meteorological Society – is happening.
  • Nearly half of weathercasters (46%) are convinced that the climate change over the past 50 years has been primarily or entirely due to human activity, and nearly one-quarter (22%) think it is more or less equally caused by human activity and natural events. About one-quarter (24%) think the change has been primarily or entirely due to natural events. 
  • Weathercasters have diverse views on the extent to which additional climate change can be averted over the next 50 years, if mitigation measures are taken worldwide: only 13% think a large amount or all additional climate change can be averted; many more think a moderate (39%) or a small (34%) amount of additional climate change can be averted; and 13% think almost no additional climate change can be averted.
  • Weathercasters also hold diverse views about the extent to which harm – to people’s health, agriculture, fresh water supplies, transportation systems, and homes and other buildings – can be prevented over the next 50 years: a quarter (23% to 26%) think a large amount or almost all of the harm to these things can be prevented; one-quarter to one-third (26% to 36%) think a moderate amount of harm can be prevented; and another quarter (24% to 28%) think only a small amount or none of the harm can be prevented.
  • Slightly over half (54%) of weathercasters think the local climate in their area has changed in the past 50 years as a result of climate change, while one-quarter (24%) think it hasn’t, and a nearly one quarter say they don’t know (22%). Most weathercasters who think their local climate has changed say the impacts have been approximately equally mixed between beneficial and harmful (60%); one-third (33%) say the impacts of been primary or exclusively harmful, and 6% say the impacts have been primarily beneficial.

The role of women as described by female Muslim activist


Islam in Australia: myths and common media positions. Part 6 The role of women as described by female Muslim activist, Yassmin Abdel-Magied.


Anthony Cox

On a recent Q&A program Muslim activist Yassmin Abdel-Magied had a heated exchange with senator Jacquie Lambie. Magied maintained Islam treated women well and was compatible with Western democracy. Lambie strenuously disagreed with Magied who has just been on a taxpayer funded trip to the Middle East promoting her recent bookMagied went to the Muslim nations shown in the following map published in an article written by Caroline Overington:
 
The places Yassmin Abdel-Magied visited, and a short description 
of each (from the Overington article)



Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.


Women in Saudi Arabia live under an iron fist male guardianship system, whereby women cannot participate in various activities without male permission and/ or supervision. They are not allowed to obtain a passport to travel abroad without such permission; they are not permitted to drive, or swim in public pools or beaches, or compete in sporting events without male supervision. Women who venture outdoors must wear the abaya (the full body covering) and often the face is covered, too. Punishments for sexual ‘crimes’ such as adultery and even rape include flogging and stoning (for the woman, not the rapist.)

Abu Dhabi, UAE:

Women live under a male guardianship system similar to that which operates in Saudi Arabia. Women require the permission of a male relative to re-marry if widowed, and Emirati women – as opposed to low-paid foreign nannies and domestics – generally do not work outside the home. The first woman minister of state for the UAE, Maitha Salem Al-Shamsi was appointed as recently as 2004. She appears in public fully veiled. Flogging and stoning for adultery, pre-marital sex and prostitution are commonplace, and it is illegal for Muslims to marry non-Muslims. Human rights lawyers in Abu Dhabi have expressed concern over what they regard as the criminalization of sexual assault victims.

Dubai, UAE:

The international human rights organisation, Human Rights Watch, recently warned expatriate woman intending to live in Dubai – in compounds, since Western women cannot live freely outside the Western compounds - to educate themselves about the lack of rights for women and girls under a Sharia-inspired legal system, which may mean that reports of domestic violence will not be prosecuted. Women, including foreign women living in Dubai, can lose custody of their children to their former partners, who are then able to prevent mothers from seeing their children. Also, the Sharia-inspired courts often apply an interpretation of the law, under which ‘it’s permissible for a husband to physically chastise his wife and it is a crime for a woman to work without her husband’s permission’ according to Human Rights Watch.

Doha, Qatar:

Sharia-inspired law actively discriminates against women in Qatar, where the deplorable state of women’s rights is comparable only to Saudi Arabia. Under Qatari law, women, unlike Qatari men, cannot pass on their nationality to their children. There are no women in Qatar’s Shura Council and sex without marriage is punishable by flogging or death. Marriages for women are generally arranged. Women are generally required to wear the abaya in public, and in many cases reveal only their eyes. The men, too, wear traditional dress, such as white cotton robes and either red or white head scarves, of the type rarely seen on the ABC’s QandA
.
Kuwait:

Women in Kuwait are among the most emancipated women in the Middle East. The level of education for women is high, and Kuwaiti women were granted the right to vote in May 2005. Four years later, four women were elected to the Kuwaiti parliament for the first time. Many of these changes have been encouraged or inspired by American human rights agencies, as part of a rebuilding effort in Kuwait after Iraqi forces were repelled.

Jordan:

A strong women’s rights movement has existed in Jordan for many decades. While marriages between Muslim women and non-Muslim men are not recognized, and honour crimes still occur, Jordanian women have a high level of education and workplace participation.

Ramallah, Palestine:

A 2015 report by Amal Syam, Director of Women’s Affairs Center in Gaza, says Palestinian women live within a “strong patriarchal culture” where gender stereotypes “limit women’s rights and gender equality.” A quarter of the women surveyed reported physical violence, and more than 10 percent reported sexual violence, with the majority of perpetrators being husbands and other male family members. Families give preference to boys’ needs over girls’ in education, inheritance, and other rights. Early marriage constitutes a major area of concern.

Israel:

A western-style parliamentary democracy and the rule of law extends to the women of Israel, which is the only country in the Middle East to ever elect a female prime minister (Golda Meir.) Women sit in parliament and vote in elections. Israeli law prohibits discrimination based on gender in employment and wages. Israeli women serve in the military and participate in all areas of public life. Orthodox Jewish women cover their hair in public, and Orthodox men are able to refuse a woman’s request to divorce.

Cairo, Egypt:

Female genital mutilation, honour killings and rape are the most serious issues facing Egyptian women, who also endure forced marriage, and live under a brutal regime of laws based on Islamic Sharia. A man can divorce his wife for any reason while a woman needs grounds to file for divorce, and polygamy is legal for men only. Women inherit half what a man inherits.

Sudan:

Female genital mutilation affects upwards of 90 percent of women, who suffer lifelong health problems, including potentially fatal birth complications, as a result. Conflict with neighbouring Somalia has forced many women and girls into refugee camps, where security forces use sexual violence as a method of control. A 2015 Human Rights Watch report suggests that women in Sudan have few rights to property and almost no agency over their own lives. The abaya is required for women venturing out in public.

In a comment attached to the Overington article Daniel notes:


Islam and sharia know no separation of Mosque and State. Fact. Sharia law is theocratic - made by Allah and unchangeable - interpreted and applied by religious authorities (Ayatollahs, fatwas etc). To say otherwise is apostasy (shirk) under sharia – punishable by death. Fact. By contrast, Australian law, and our legal and political system is democratic. It is based on popular sovereignty where our secular law (not mandated by Christianity or any other religion) is changed by peoples’ Parliaments. Sharia law is therefore fundamentally incompatible with Australian law and Western democracy. 
Fact. 
The Muslim ummah is divided into a majority that are sharia compliant and a reformist minority that renounce sharia law for democracy - technically apostates. Fact. Therefore, only reformist Muslims can abide by their citizenship pledge to abide exclusively by Australian law and Australian values. Fact.  Quran 33:36 and many other Ayat say very clearly that Muslims must obey sharia law in preference to any other law. Anyone who says otherwise is simply lying (taqiyya - sharia mandated deception) or ignorant.  '...It is not for a believing man or a believing woman, when Allah and His Messenger have decided a matter, that they should [thereafter] have any choice about their affair. And whoever disobeys Allah and His Messenger has certainly strayed in to clear error...'. Q 33:36. 
Sharia law is fundamentally incompatible with Australian law and the core cultural values it embodies for the systemic reasons set out above but also because of its abhorrent content. Fact. This is because sharia law punishes with death or barbaric punishments (death, stoning, amputation, whipping, confinement until death, immolation, and crucifixion): apostasy, blasphemy, adultery, homosexuality, drinking and gambling, and ‘making mischief’ (insurrection Q 5:33); and punishes theft by amputation. Sharia prohibits religious freedom. It permits slavery. 
Sharia does not allow equality before the law (non-Muslims are inferior - Q 3:110 and 5:51 and 98:6). It employs barbaric lex talionis  - ‘eye for eye tooth for tooth’. Sharia discriminates against women (women are inferior Q 4:34) and non-Muslims. It enables underage marriage and thus child rape, rape in marriage, wife beating, honour killing, polygamy, female genital mutilation, first cousin marriage, gender segregation and seclusion and forced veiling (niqab and hijab). Women must prove rape of suffer punishment as an adulterer. Divorced women are not entitled to an equal share in marital property and lose child custody after divorce. The man can initiate divorce without fault by saying talac three times (‘triple talac divorce’). Muslima get only a half share in inheritance (Q 4:11), their testimony is worth only half and cannot marry non-Muslims. 
Very dangerously, sharia law mandates Islamism (Q 33: 36 and 9:111 and 2:216). Islamism is the sharia mandate that all sharia compliant Muslims must use all forms of jihad to subjugate all people to sharia law.  Jihad has many forms - word, speech, dawa (proselytising), money (Halal taxes and banking and jizya), hostile immigration and demography (hijra) and subversion (infiltrating Government, universities, media and judiciary - see the Muslim Brotherhood ‘strategic plan’ captured in the Holy Land Foundation terrorist funding trial in the US - stealth jihad and civilizational jihad).  The worst of all forms of jihad is violence and terrorism (Q 2:191-3; 8:12, 8:39; 8:60; 9:05; 9:29, 47:4). Sharia is therefore terroristic, supremacist, imperialistic, genocidal, Jew hating and fascist. Therefore all moral, sensible Australians are very rightly opposed to sharia law and see its spread as an existential threat. 
To the extent that sharia is moderate it is because its tenets are not enforced not because sharia is moderate in its tenets. But many people simply will not address this by learning what sharia law is by independent study of the Quran, Hadith (Sunnah) (sharia’s two primary legal sources), Sira (Muhammad’s biography) and Tafsir (explanatory notes on the Quran). See for example the Team B II report of the US Center for Security Policy or Wikiislam. They choose to remain deliberately ignorant for fear or because it would destroy their multiculturalist Utopian fantasy. Those that support sharia through their deliberate ignorance betray their fellow Australians including reformist Muslims (that renounce sharia, jihad and Islamism) that Australians welcome and strongly support.


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It is plain Magied is wrong and egregiously misleading in her comments and argument with senator Lambie. The problem is the media, especially the ABC, will continue to side with Magied’s version of Islam to the detriment of Australia.

Covenant of Democratic Nations

The program towards the Covenant of Democratic Nations was launched in Washington D.C. on 23rd January 2017 and the next meeting was in New York City on the 31st January. US Investigative Journalist and Award winning author, Edwin Black, is leading the initiative.




Last night at Parliament House Canberra Edwin Black introduced the initiative to Australia.

There was a panel of 2SM's Grant Goldman (on phone); The Daily Telegraph's John Adams (on phone), Senator Malcolm Roberts; Malcolm's Office Manager Leon Ashby; Farmer and ex-miner John MacRae and convenor Yankel Koncepolski.

Present for most of the meeting was 4 Corners Producer Debbie Richards with a cameraman.

Edwin said that he was helping to ignite the conversation.

Leon read a statement from Malcolm (who was in the senate chamber) saying that Malcolm had a strong conviction for sovereignty.

Grant Goldman then made a statement including the UN way was to usurp power for the wrong reasons and we lose control of our own nation. Grant closed with: