All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Wednesday, 27 January 2016

Gore's Tip of Tipping Point Busted.

From: Global Warming Racket and Climate Change Superscam
If you are reading this, Al Gore is wrong. We haven't all been fried and died.

While pushing his Science Fiction propaganda piece, An Inconvenient Truth, Al Gore appeared at the Sundance Film Festival in Utah, on Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2006. At the time, CBS News reported:
The former vice president came to town for the premiere of "An Inconvenient Truth," a documentary chronicling what has become his crusade since losing the 2000 presidential election: Educating the masses that global warming is about to toast our ecology and our way of life. 
Gore has been saying it for decades, since a college class in the 1960s convinced him that greenhouse gases from oil, coal and other carbon emissions were trapping the sun's heat in the atmosphere, resulting in a glacial meltdown that could flood much of the planet.
Same old stuff that the alarmists have been pushing, year in, year out and as the AGW hoax gets revealed brick by brick, they become shriller and shriller. But how's this for shrill?  Al Gore predicted that, unless action was taken, we would reach the point of no return; the tipping point.
And politicians and corporations have been ignoring the issue for decades, to the point that unless drastic measures to reduce greenhouse gases are taken within the next 10 years, the world will reach a point of no return, Gore said.
Well, Al, we have passed that point. Why were you so stupid as to mention a decade. Others among the shrill use terms like "at the end of the century" Still stupid, but not as stupid as just a decade.

Have we hit the tipping point? According to SS - UNSkeptical UNScience's trend calculator there has been less than one tenth of a degree of warming (with odd error bars)


And yet, CO2 has risen from about 380ppm to 400 ppm in that period. This can be explained by the Logarithmic effect of CO2 which shows that the first 50ppm does the most warming (Source)
As Bob Carter explained in Taxing Air, the concept of a tipping point is unscientific:
....the extra warming caused by adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere diminishes in magnitude with increasing gas concentration, less warming is caused by each successive increment in carbon dioxide. Therefore, most of the impact of carbon dioxide on Earth’s global temperature was produced by the first 50 ppm of concentration of the gas in the Earth’s atmosphere, and further increases in concentration beyond that have exercised, and will continue to exercise in future, a diminishing incremental increase in global temperature. The concept of a ‘tipping point’, beyond which global warming accelerates, is not supported by any known science.
So, Al, your theory that CO2 would cause a "tipping point" has been busted. CO2, instead of roasting the planet, has been greening it.  

Apologise and give the money back!


 
 






Monday, 25 January 2016

Scientist Bob Carter, Who Led Fight Against Global Warming Alarmism, Passes On

BY TOM HARRIS AND TERRY DUNLEAVY




Australians and New Zealanders are known as no-nonsense straight shooters, people who come to your aid without complaint in times of distress. On September 3, 1939, in response to Hitler’s invasion of Poland, Australia and New Zealand were among the first countries to enter World War II. The countries’ soldiers have had an enviable reputation as first-class fighters since at least 1915. In World War I and; II, Korea, Vietnam, and Iraq, elite Anzac troops distinguished themselves as valued comrades in arms in the defense of freedom.


So it is perhaps not surprising that no one has made a greater contribution to the worldwide fight against climate extremism than Australasian scientist Professor Robert (Bob) M. Carter, who passed away on Tuesday at the age of (almost) 74.

Born in England, Dr. Carter was raised in New Zealand. He gained his first degree at Otago University, received a Ph.D. from Cambridge University, and became an Honorary Fellow of the Royal Society of New Zealand before his final tenure at James Cook University in Townsville, Australia. Although other climate realists may be better known in their home countries, none have had Carter’s international impact.

Carter was everywhere. He acted as an expert witness on climate change before the U.S. Senate Committee of Environment & Public Works, the Australian and New Zealand parliamentary Select Committees into emissions trading, and in a meeting in parliament house, Stockholm. Carter was the primary science witness in the UK High Court case of Dimmock v. H.M.'s Secretary of State for Education, the 2007 judgment which identified nine major scientific errors in Al Gore's film An Inconvenient Truth.

bob with protestors
Professor Carter helping educate young protesters outside the 4th International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago, in May 2010.

He was a regular presenter at The Heartland Institute’s ten International Climate Change Conferences (ICCC), and he even toured Canada to speak, at no charge, at Canadian universities. Carter was honored with a Lifetime Achievement Award at the 10th ICCC in Washington, D.C. last June.

Joe Bast, president of The Heartland Institute, said:
Bob never failed to answer the call to defend climate science, getting on planes to make the long flight from Australia to the U.S., to Paris, and to other lands without complaints or excuses.
Besides his own advanced science research (including over 100 published papers) and regular media appearances across the world, Carter was a lead author of reports of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change that cite thousands of peer-reviewed papers in the world’s leading science journals that counter climate alarmism.
He was the author of Climate: The Counter Consensus (2010), Taxing Air: Facts and Fallacies about Climate Change (2013), and coauthor of several more books. His understandable, down-to-earth speaking style, uncommon among accomplished researchers, attracted readers and followers in droves.

Carter was a regular participant in climate realist films such as Climate Hustle, which premiered last month with the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT) in Paris. He acted as an advisor to many climate realist groups: he was a founding member of the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition; an emeritus fellow and science policy advisor at Australia’s Institute of Public Affairs; a science advisor at CFACT as well as the Washington D.C.-based Science and Public Policy Institute; the chief science advisor for the International Climate Science Coalition; and a science advisor to Heartland.
Unlike many in the climate debate, Carter never lost his humility or resorted to the sort of attacks we see every day in the climate fight. Professor Chris de Freitas of the School of Environment at the University of Auckland comments:
Bob Carter was a scholar of the highest order and a committed, indefatigable defender of honest science reporting in the climate change debate. He was a true gentleman who never descended to ad hominem attacks on those who disagreed with him.
bobcarter-heartland3
Professor Carter presenting at the 3rd International Conference on Climate Change in Washington, D.C. in 2009.
The next U.S. president must follow Carter’s advice if America is to avoid dangerous and useless climate change policies that cause skyrocketing energy prices and massive unemployment. In his first book, Carter summed up the situation well:
To say that human-caused global warming is proven to be a dangerous problem is untrue, and to introduce futile policies aimed at “stopping climate change” is both vainglorious and hugely expensive. Nonetheless, and despite the failure of the hypothesis of dangerous human-caused global warming, all studies of ancient climate indicate that a very real climate problem does exist. It is the risk associated with natural climatic phenomena, including short-term events such as floods and cyclones, intermediate scale events such as drought, and longer term warming and cooling trends.
On hearing of Professor Carter’s passing, British journalist, James Delingpoler esponded:
We all loved Bob; we’re all going to miss him. What a hero! What a friend! Just the kind of guy you want in the foxhole next to you!
Viscount Christopher Monckton said:
We will remember him. He was our clearest voice of truth.
Rest in peace, Bob Carter. You are indeed a hero for the ages.

The funeral service for Professor Carter was held today. in Townsville.

It was well attended by his peers and the many people who loved him. Among the mourners, Bob's wife Anne and their children; the scientific fraternity was well represented, including (but not all) Professor Ian Plimer, Prof Peter Ridd, Dr Jennifer Marohasy, Professor Stewart Franks. And from Melbourne, the executive director if the Institute of Public Affairs - John Roskam.

As an aside, John Roskam said (paraphrasing) Bob had claimed that if he had 10 minutes with Malcolm Turnbull, he could convince him of the AGW hoax. This blogger believes that Turnbull is so financially and ideologically dedicated with the falsified AGW hypothesis, his ears would have been block - even to Bob Carter

Saturday, 23 January 2016

The Scottish Sceptic: -This year global cooling


The Scottish Sceptic has gone out on a limb and predicted -This year global cooling

This is interesting because the RagMag New Scientist has predicted that 2016 will be the hottest year ever - hotter that the MWP, the Roman Warming, even hotter that the Holocene Climate Optimum. Even the British Met " recently forecast that 2016 could be “at least as warm, if not warmer” than 2015"

Back to the RagMag New Scientist's prediction that 2016 will be the hottest year . It appears that, through Marc Morano's ClimateDepot, Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth is guessing (is guessing scientific, Kev?)
that 2016 may not be warmer than 2015, He thinks the current El Niño may already have begun to peak (or have peaked) and thus that the second half of 2016 may cool down again somewhat.
The Scottish Sceptic says:
...despite it usually being something we sceptics leave to idiot alarmists to do, for a while I’ve been telling anyone who wants to listen that this year is more than likely to see global cooling because three separate (possible) trends are adding together: 
  • Reduction in sun spots (likely but unclear relationship to temperature)
  • 60 year cycle is in cooling phase (cause unknown – but it appears in many records)
  • End of El Niño (supposed to be cause of massive rise in 1998 – but similar scale El Niño peaking around now has caused only minor upswing in satellites – which is only reliable indicator of global trends).
A solitary Scottish Sceptic sticks it too all the shrill who are predicting ever increasing warming.


Friday, 22 January 2016

The HOTTEST year lie continues.

Apologies to Cartoons by Josh
Last year the shrill were proclaiming 2014 to be the hottest year ever. But when pushed, they umm-ed and ahh-ed and said they were only 38% sure.

Those same shrill are at it again. 2015 the hottest scream the headlines, but the data show that it was nowhere near the hottest ( and the previously claimed 'great 2014' is even further from the truth.)

1998 still is the winner. Let's hear it for ole 98! YEH!

And further back, here's comes 2010.

But we are only talking of the era of satellite data.

On Howie Carr's radio show a year ago,  MIT Professor emeritus Richard Lindzen dismissed global-warming alarmists as a discredited “cult” whose members are becoming more hysterical as emerging evidence continues to contradict their beliefs.
“As with any cult, once the mythology of the cult begins falling apart, instead of saying, oh, we were wrong, they get more and more fanatical. I think that’s what’s happening here.” 
“Seventy percent of the earth is oceans, we can’t measure those temperatures very well. They can be off a half a degree, a quarter of a degree. Even two-10ths of a degree of change would be tiny but two-100ths is ludicrous. Anyone who starts crowing about those numbers shows that they’re putting spin on nothing.” 
The Late Great Professor Bob Carter, in the book TAXING AIR, spoke of the range of temperatures in Australia.


Australia’s recorded temperatures span 74ºC. 
Australia’s hottest and coldest historic temperatures are +50.7ºC, recorded at Oodnadatta, South Australia on January 2, 1960; and -23.0ºC, recorded at Charlotte Pass, New South Wales, on June 9, 1994. 
Over about the last 150 years, this represents a range of temperature across Australia of 73.7ºC. 
These and similar local statistics represent climate extremes and their impact is as rare weather events. More typical daily temperature ranges are usually less than half of this, varying between as little as 5º in the maritime tropics in summer to perhaps as much as 30º in arid inland regions in winter.
"A range of temperature across Australia of 73.7ºC." 

The shrill are worried about a small 2ºC rise in Global temperatures.

This blogger, this week walked from his kitchen onto the deck outside and experience a 2ºC rise in temperature. Fortunately it was not catastrophic.

As far as those shrill reports "Warmest Year  EVER" how wrong can they be?

Looking at the longer term in history (again from TAXING AIR)


Going back in history, getting warmer as we go, 
  • Late 20th Century warming - was cooler than
  • Medieval Warming (1000years ago) - was cooler than
  • Roman Warming (2000ya) - was cooler than
  • Minoan Warming (3000ya)- was cooler than
  • Warming 7000 years ago - was cooler than
  • Holocene Climate Optimum (8000 years ago)
I think I am beginning to see a pattern here....



As Professor Carter put it:

The graph reflects regional Greenland and not global temperatures, but that does not make it a cherry pick, because many other lines of evidence are consistent with the Holocene Climatic Optimum (HCO) being marked by temperatures 1-2 deg. C above those of today. 

The "truth" is: that there is absolutely nothing unusual about temperatures in the first decade of the 21st century, nor about the gentle warming that occurred in the late 20th century.
And what about the future? You can bet the shrill will claim this year, 2016, to be the warmest year ever.

You say: "They Wouldn't Dare!"

WAIT for IT!

NewScientist disregards the MWP, and all the other warm periods including the Holocene Climate Optimum and has already declared 2016  (yes, this current three week old year) to be 

the hottest year ever        

2016 will be even hotter than 2015            



Simply Very Risible!




Wednesday, 20 January 2016

Chief Scientist's Parting Gaffes.


"Don't flinch" is outgoing Chief Scientist Ian Chubb's parting advice for scientists facing a wide range of detractors (link)

Professor Chubb will this week end his 5-year term as Chief Scientist.

"I can only say to scientists: don't flinch. Do your work; do it according to the trusted methods of ethical science and talk regularly to the public ... their support, and the weight and quality of evidence, must always trump make-believe." 
As we know, the realist scientists "do it according to the trusted methods of ethical science" whereas the shrill turn the scientific method around. They reverse the scientific method.

From Vincent Gray's Book  The Global Warming Scam and Climate Change Superscam  Chapter 2 (LINK)

The Scientific Method:


Observation comes first. The hypothesis and then the theory arise from the observations. The validity of the theory depends on the efforts placed in its modification from future observations.

However, the shrill (including presumably Prof Chubb) have turned the " trusted methods of ethical science" on their head and reversed the Scientific Method.
Here the study begins with a proposed theory (man's CO2 emissions are causing catastrophic global warming) and the investigation consists of an attempt to find observations and make experiments which might confirm the theory.
Reporting the same story, Shane Wright for the West reported Professor Chubb:
People who don't believe the climate is changing have clogged up his email system 
Really? As Climate had changed since the beginning of time, I don't think that there could be many who "don't believe the climate is changing..."  Is Professor Chubb confused? Does he mean people who have not been fooled by the CAGW Hoax? Has the good Professor kept up with the science? Is he not aware that, although atmospheric CO2 keeps rising, there has been a ~20 year plateau in the warming?

Thank Heaven there ARE scientists who "do it according to the trusted methods of ethical science" countering the government scientists pushing the falsified AGW hypothesis.







Bob Carter according to Climate Misinformer UNSkeptical UNScience (SS)


The loss of Professor Bob Carter is a loss to the world of truth, a loss to the world of Science and in fact a loss to the world.

The despicable Climate Misinformers at UNSkeptical UNScience (SS) have a post under the lying title of Climate Misinformer: Bob Carter.

This is just a repeat of the misinformation in their 
Global Warming and Climate Change Myths. These "myths" have all been debunked by this blog's SS Myths debunked.

An example:


"CO2 is not a pollutant"

The Truth:

CO2 is NOT a pollutant
. The EPA over nearly a decade sought legal vindication for its claim CO2 is a pollutant despite relying on discredited IPCC ‘science’. The final Supreme Court verdict in 2014 gave the EPA the right to regulate existing large scale emitters of CO2 but not the vast number of small ones. 

More importantly the Supreme Court specifically resisted the EPA’s intention to interpret statute according to its bureaucratic criteria. The Supreme Court strongly advocated the EPA was bound by Congress. The upshot of this is if a Republican sceptic gets into the Whitehouse when Obama’s term ends with republican majorities in both houses this decision will change if new legislation that CO2 is not a pollutant is introduced. In short currently CO2 is a pollutant by virtue of the EPA’s ideological position and political fiat not the science.

Another:

But aren't the shrill trying to claim 2014 and then 2015 were the warmest years? Anyhow:

The Truth:It hasn’t warmed since 1998. Longer according to McKitrick’s peer reviewed paperAgain, the IPCC agrees there has been a pause since 1998.

So does the MET (LINK)

With the release of the 2014 HadCRUT4 data by the UK Met Office, and the previous release of global temperature data by Berkeley EarthNasa and Noaa, the main conclusion to be drawn from the data is that 2014 was a warm year, but not statistically distinguishable from most of the years of the past decade or so meaning that the “pause” in global annual average surface temperatures continues.


Although SS claims humans are the dominant force behind change, this is not so. 

See - 

UNSkeptical UNScience's Manufactured Myths for a full debunking of this SS Manufactured myth.


All the lies "Myths" cited by SS have been debunked. Perhaps they will now take down this post of falsehoods?

The Truth is that Bob Carter was the informer and UNSkeptical UNScience (SS) were misinforming deliberately.

Bob Carter will be sadly missed.

Vale Bob Carter



Joanne Nova writes
The world would be a much better place if it were a world with more Bob Carters.
Read Joanne's tribute to Bob - Bob Carter- a great man gone far too soon

From Joe Bast of Heartland - Dr. Robert M. Carter, R.I.P

In 2010 Czech President Vaclav Klaus wrote:

Thank heavens for Bob CarterThe Australian professor deserves thanks and praise for repudiating the heretic-hunting climate orthodoxy

Last word to Christopher Monckton
We will remember him. He was our clearest voice of truth

Thursday, 14 January 2016

Increased atmospheric CO2 help plants recover from droughts (peer-reviewed paper)

CO2 Science reviewed the following paper:

Chen, Y., Yu, J. and Huang, B. 2015. Effects of elevated CO2 concentration on water relations and photosynthetic responses to drought stress and recovery during re-watering in tall fescue. Journal of the American Society of Horticultural Science 140: 19-26.

Abstract

Water availability for plant growth is becoming increasingly limited, whereas rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration may have interactive effects with drought stress. The objectives of this study were to determine whether elevated CO2 would mitigate drought-induced water deficit and photosynthesis inhibition and enhance recovery from drought damages on rewatering and to determine whether the mitigating effects during drought stress and the recovery in photosynthesis during rewatering by elevated CO2 were the result of the regulation of stomatal movement or carboxylation activities in tall fescue (Festuca arundinacea Schreb. cv. Rembrandt). Plants were grown in controlled-environment chambers with ambient CO2 concentration (400 μmol·mol−1) or elevated CO2 concentration (800 μmol·mol−1) and maintained well watered (control) or subjected to drought stress and subsequently rewatered. Elevated CO2 reduced stomatal conductance (gS) and transpiration rate of leaves during both drought stress and rewatering. Osmotic adjustment and soluble sugar content were enhanced by elevated CO2. Elevated CO2 enhanced net photosynthetic rate with lower gS but higher Rubisco and Rubisco activase activities during both drought and rewatering. The results demonstrated that elevated CO2 could improve leaf hydration status and photosynthesis during both drought stress and rewatering, and the recovery in photosynthesis from drought damages on rewatering was mainly the result of the elimination of metabolic limitation from drought damages associated with carboxylation enzyme activities. (bold added)

CO2 Science Review:
Introducing their study, Chen et al. (2015) write that "drought stress is one of the most detrimental abiotic stresses for plant growth," in that it "leads to stomatal closure and reduces photosynthesis resulting from restricted CO2 diffusion through leaf stomata and inhibition of carboxylation activity," as described by Flexas et al. (2004). And they thus note that "minimizing cellular dehydration and maintaining active photosynthesis are key strategies for plant survival or persistence through dry-down periods," as is described in more detail by Nilsen and Orcutt (1996).
 The researchers wondered if these problems might be reversed by CO2 enrichment...
This work revealed, in the words of the three scientists, that (1) "elevated CO2 reduced stomatal conductance and transpiration rate of leaves during both drought stress and re-watering," that (2) "osmotic adjustment and soluble sugar content were enhanced by elevated CO2," and that (3) the "elevated CO2enhanced net photosynthetic rate with lower stomatal conductance but higher Rubisco and Rubisco activase activities during both drought and re-watering." And what was the end result of these several changes? 
Chen et al. conclude that "the mitigating effects of elevated CO2 on drought inhibition of photosynthesis and the enhanced recovery in photosynthesis on re-watering were mainly the result of the elimination of metabolic limitation from drought damages associated with increased enzyme activities for carboxylation."