Roy Warren Spencer, Ph.D., is a meteorologist, principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), and the U.S. Science Team leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E) on NASA’s Aqua satellite. Spencer also served as senior scientist for climate studies at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center, and is known for his satellite-based temperature monitoring work, for which he was awarded the American Meteorological Society’s Special Award.
Roy, with Doug Domenech, the Director of the Fueling Freedom Project at The Texas Public Policy Foundation, have released a booklet:
In the paper, Roy addresses the absurd furphy (oxymoron?) - 97 percent of climate
researchers agree that global warming is a serious man-made problem.
The claim that 97 percent of climate experts agree on global warming and climate change is not true, and was based upon a study with flawed methodology. And since when is science settled by a survey or a poll? The hallmark of a good scientific theory is its ability to make good predictions. From what we’ve seen, global warming theory is definitely lacking in this regard.
Since our temperature measurements haven’t been around that long (100 years or so at most), temperature records can be expected to be broken from time to time just due to the chaotic nature of weather variations, without global warming.
But let’s imagine that we were breaking the same high temperature records every year, year after year. Would that be cause for alarm?
Well, if there wasn’t any natural weather variability involved, and we had a very slow rate of global warming occurring, say 0.01 F per year, then each year would be warmer than the previous year. Each year would set a new record.
But who would care? What matters is how much warmer it’s getting, and how fast.
Also, not all records are created the same. For a given weather station, there can be a record high for the date (not a difficult record to break), a record for the calendar month, or an all-time record high (that’s harder to achieve). These kinds of records are also broken for low temperatures as well.Roy's Conclusion:
It should be clear that the science of global warming is far from settled.
Uncertainties in the adjustments to our global temperature datasets, the small amount of warming those datasets have measured compared to what climate models expect, and uncertainties over the possible role of Mother Nature in recent warming, all combine to make climate change beliefs as much faith-based as science-based.
Until climate science is funded independent of desired energy policy outcomes, we can continue to expect climate research results to be heavily biased in the direction of catastrophic outcomes.
The paper is available here (pdf): http://www.texaspolicy.com/library/doclib/FFP-Global-Temperature-booklet-July-2016-PDF.pdf