All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Sunday, 20 March 2016

Computer Models Can't Work

Dr Tim Ball writing for TheRebel:Media

Dr Tim points out a 2008 statement by  Tim Palmer, climate modeler at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts in Reading England in New Scientist:
I don’t want to undermine the IPCC, but the forecasts, especially for regional climate change, are immensely uncertain.

Delegates at Paris Climate Conference were all led to believe the long-term predictions were possible and accurate.
Tim Ball then wrote:

With global climate models, it is worse because the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) leave out major mechanisms. They acknowledged one of the limitations in the Third Assessment Report (TAR) when they wrote:
In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible. 
Nobody provided that quote at the recent Paris Climate Conference. They were all led to believe the long-term predictions were possible and accurate. 
Dr Tim then points out that the models are mathematical models "with numbers and formulae representing data and mechanisms."
Oceans cover 70 percent and land 30 percent of the Earth’s surface. There is essentially no weather data for approximately 85 percent of the globe.Virtually none for the 70 percent that is an ocean and of the 30 percent land surface, there are very few stations for the 19 percent mountains, 20 percent deserts, 20 percent boreal forest, 20 percent grasslands and 6 percent tropical rain forest.There is so little data that for many parts of the world they use a single station as representative of a 1200 km radius.
Read more at TheRebel:Media


3 comments:

  1. Very powerful statements. It should make the far-left think, but that will never happen, they are 100% political agenda driven. For them, real science does not come into play.

    ReplyDelete
  2. this is very helpful. thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Ask Al Gore why he never mentions the sun....because no one (much less a computer model) can predict what the sun is going to do. Al Gore would have us believe that somehow we have affected the sun. Maybe we should send Al to 'visit' the sun. Something tells me that we would not have to listen to him anymore....and I can bet that a computer model would predict the outcome on that 'one way' trip quite accurately.

    ReplyDelete





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