Anthony Cox
The recent East-Coast storm was a bad one. These storms are
not common but neither are they rare. There was one in 2007 which grounded the Pasha
Bulker, another in 1974 which grounded the Sygna and the biggest of them
all in 1955 which basically drowned the lower Hunter Valley.
This storm featured 135K/h
wind gusts and wave heights of 14.9 meters. During the Sygna storm wave
heights reached 17 meters and
wind gusts up to 165k/h. Rainfall was much heavier during the 1955 storm
and there was much greater loss of life and extent of damage.
So there is no trend or discernible evidence for AGW causing
worse storms.
That hasn’t stopped the usual suspects from dredging up the
usual statements about how this storm is evidence of AGW and the climate
getting worse. Matthew England for instance is a typical alarmist advocate with
a PhD:
Who wouldn’t believe this distinguished looking chap? England
was part of a group of photogenic alarmist scientists who recently posed for
concerned photos showing their distraught reactions to the inaction of the
Abbott government on AGW. Look how sad poor Matthew looks:
And look at Flannery:
Poor buggers. They do look crook. They’d be full of beans
now though with this recent storm to complain about and Flannery has also been
upset about Lomborg
getting some money to research at AWU which is where Lewandowsky and Cook
did such great work on consensus.
But look at Lomborg:
Now there’s a happy chap. He’s getting on with the business
of real science. Unlike sad-sack England who like the rest of the alarmists is
sprouting rubbish about the storm like this:
Referring to the 2007 east coast low that hit the Newcastle area, and the devastation of the Brisbane floods in 2011 that was repeated last year, Professor England said there was a clear trend in repeat disasters.
“All around the world we’re seeing the return period of storms, heatwaves ... the return periods are shortening and it’s consistent with what we’re seeing with global warming.”Professor England said while the frequency of storms aren’t guaranteed to increase, there were three clear reasons why they’re going to be more intense.
“A warmer climate means more energised storms, the sea level is higher so we’re in a situation where the storm surge tends to be that much more impactful because it’s smashing into the coast with a higher sea level, and with more moisture in the atmosphere there’s more of a chance of higher rainfall events,” he said.
Now this is unmitigated bullshit. The Brisbane floods were
exacerbated by alarmist and green policies which meant that Wivenhoe dam, a dam
designed to mitigate
floods after the 1974 storms which were bigger than the 2011 storm, a dam
built as a flood mitigator which meant it had to be empty, was filled to the
brim because alarmist
propaganda about endless drought had convinced witless policy makers to use
Wivenhoe as a drought mitigator. In terms of floods England is contradicted by
the BOM’s own records:
Clearly the floods have not become more intense but less
intense and frequent. And droughts have become less frequent as Dr
David Stockwell showed.
Globally extreme events as England claims are not
increasing. Even the IPCC
agrees that extreme weather will not increase with AGW. In fact if
AGW were real extreme weather would decrease. Professor
Muller, a well-known alarmist, explains why:
He said less difference in the temperatures between the poles and the equator caused by global warming "could reduce the kind of hot-cold weather fronts that generate severe storms''.
There has been
some great work done by independent researchers in Australia on heatwaves such
as Jo Nova and Geoff Sherrington, Ken Stewart, Chris Gilham and many others. It’s a pity
England didn’t bother to read some of their research or even familiarise
himself with the BOM’s data.
But alarmists
like England are not about evidence which contradicts the narrative of AGW. He
and the rest have invested too much in this lie to give up on it now. This is
why they act like vultures whenever a nasty bit of weather comes along. They
seem eager to use the opportunity to push their belief irrespective of the
facts. In this respect they are like vultures and their influence has not only
cost Australia and the world dearly but also impacted on the reputation of
science. The sad photos England and the rest of this gang took of themselves
(such vanity!) is not a true image of where and what they are. In fact the
before and after images of the Sygna best sum up the status and position of AGW
and its believers today. The Sygna in 1974:
The Sygna recently in 2009:
Like the Sygna, after exposure to reality AGW has shrunk to
the pathetic but still costly wreck it is today. England and his crew are still
sitting at the helm of this wreck.
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