All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Thursday, 30 April 2015

Global Warming has plateaued. Ask your children.

Before we start, let's get one thing clear. Climate Change is natural. Climate has been changing since time immemorial.

When the planet was warming, we were warned of man-made global warming (AGW). However, whether for reasons of attempted confusion or deliberate deception or brevity, the alarmists morphed (man made) global warming into just plain Global Warming.

When the warming plateaued, it was hard to pin a case on warming so the terminology moved on to climate change. Now, I have been called a Climate Change Denier. I do NOT deny that climate changes. I do not even deny that man has had some contribution to climate change or to the warming when it was happening. The Urban Heat Island effect is a prime example.

However, I believe that the primary causes of climate change are natural. And, from a study by Harvard University, it has been shown that young American people think the same. (link)
In fact, the age group that least agreed with the first statement  (“Global warming is a proven fact and is mostly caused by emissions from cars and industrial facilities such as power plants”) was that of 18 to 20-year-olds. The assumption that younger adults are more liberal when it comes to global warming does not hold up; if anything, they are even more skeptical.
Consequently, young Americans are often unsupportive of government measures to prevent climate change that might harm the economy. Less than a third of those surveyed agreed with the statement, “Government should do more to curb climate change, even at the expense of economic growth,” and only 12 percent strongly agreed with it.
Why should they "believe" in man-made global warming. There has been no warming throughout their young lives.

Now the true deniers, the alarmists, the pushers of the AGW hoax, say that it is cherry-picking to start, as in the above graph, at 1997. They say if you chose an earlier date, say 1995, the result would be different.  It might show a little rise.


However, Phil Jones, the head of the Climate Research Unit, made two statements from the beginning of the hiatus: (link)
Dr. Phil Jones – CRU emails – 5th July, 2005  The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only 7 years of data and it isn’t statistically significant….” 

Dr. Phil Jones – CRU emails – 7th May, 2009  ‘Bottom line: the ‘no upward trend’ has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried.’
He said that no upward trend for a period of 15 years (or more) would be a worry. That means the latest 15 years.

The top graph above shows a slight downward trend for the latest 18 years. No cherry picking. It is the LAST 18 years.

3 comments:

  1. UAHv6, which now aligns much better with RSS, (which is run by warmists who are honest enough NOT to "mutate" the data like BOM and GISS)....

    ... shows that Australia has warmed at the rate of 0.0004ºC/year since the beginning of 1998,

    This truly is a scary amount of warming... ;-)

    ....but is probably about the amount that might be avoided under a multi-billion dollar Labor/Green carbon tax, IFF the erroneous, unsubstantiated, invalidated, hypothesis of CO2 warming were at all realistic.

    ReplyDelete
  2. "no upward trend’ has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried"

    Yes, it truly is a worry.

    The world would be far better off with another degree or so of warming and a further doubling of CO2.

    Alas, the current docile Sun seems to have other ideas, and we may actually be about to be heading into a cooling trend for a few decades.

    A 2-3 decade cooling trend will cause a LOT of problems in regard to feeding the world population.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Proof has been hiding in plain sight that change to the level of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) does not cause climate change. The science is solid. Cooking the books hasn't hidden the proof. Only existing data and the fundamental relation between physics and math are needed or used.

    The proof and identification of the two factors that do cause climate change (95% correlation since before 1900) are at http://agwunveiled.blogspot.com

    ReplyDelete





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