Friday, 12 September 2014

Bureau of Mythology ..er..(Fake) Meteorology outed: Cooking the Cooling.

Some dedicated scientists have exposed Australia's Bureau of Meteorology's flawed fake figures.

Dr Jennifer Marohasy has had a long running dialogue with David Jones of the Bureau of Meteorology, with many unanswered questions.

In January 2014, she questioned a statement that David Jones made in a radio interview:
“We know every place across Australia is getting hotter, and very similarly almost every place on this planet. So, you know, we know it is getting hotter and we know it will continue to get hotter. It’s a reality, and something we will be living with for the rest of this century.”
In March 2014, Jennifer wrote an open letter to the Minister for the Environment, Greg Hunt, questioning the reliability of the bureau's data, beginning with (link)
I am writing to you as the Minister for Environment, ultimately responsible for the activities of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, to ask you consider the following seven issues pertaining to the activities of the Bureau.
and including this gem:
While the Australian taxpayer invested upward of $30 million dollars in just one supercomputer in March 2009 on the basis that this would make weather predictions more accurate, some individual forecasters, operating outside the mainstream climate-science community, and without any government support, are producing more reliable and accurate medium-term rainfall forecasts than the Bureau. 
and concluding: (bold added)
In arriving at theories that explain the natural world, the best scientists always use all the available data, not just the data that happens to fit a particular viewpoint. Furthermore, long historical data series are critical for statistical methods of rainfall forecasts, including the application of artificial neural networks that can currently provide more skillful forecasts than POAMA. That the Bureau persists with POAMA, while failing to disclose to the Australian public the absence of any measurable skill in its monthly and seasonal forecasts, should be of grave concern to the Australian parliament. 

‘Facts don’t cease to exist because they are ignored.’ 


In June, Jen wrote again to the to the Minister for the Environment (link) containing details of her ongoing research with a letter concluding:
As an Australian scientist with a keen interest in public policy and temperature records, I ask you as the Minister ultimately responsible for the activities of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, to consider how you might reconcile increasing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide with a falling temperature trend, and what needs to be done if we are to adequately prepare as a nation for the possible onset of a period of sustained cooling.
Even if Minister Hunt has been taken in by the  Global Warming Hoax, he seems derelict in his duties if he has not called the head of the Bureau into his office with a "Please Explain."


Later in the year she published  a paper co-authored with John Abbott, Ken Stewart and David Stockwell titled

Modelling Australian and Global Temperatures: 
What’s Wrong? Bourke and Amberley as Case Studies (link-pdf)
This paper considers the records for Bourke and Amberley and the methodology employed by the Bureau in compiling the annual statistics from such temperature series. We will also consider how NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) homogenizes data from Amberley in the development of its annual global mean temperature. Homogenization refers to a process of changing the actual temperature records using mathematical algorithms.
This blog has covered her address to the Sydney Institute with a blog titled

Taking the Warming out of Global Warming (Link)

The Environment Editor of the Australian, Graham Lloyd, picked up the story and exposed the fake data to the world in a series of articles, including


Where are we up to? As Jennifer has revealed on her blog today (link
THE Australian Bureau of Meteorology now acknowledge that they change the temperatures at most, if not all, the weather stations that make-up the official station network from which national temperature trends are calculated. Indeed, earlier in the week, 28 pages of ‘adjustments’ were released online....(and Alarmists defenders take note)...Scrutinise the detail in this document of adjustments and not only is the rationale and methodology indefensible, but it contradicts information published in the official Station Catalogue which is meant to be the go-to document for understanding this official network known as ACORN-SAT (Australian Climate Observations Reference Network –Surface Air Temperature).
The post continues: (my bold added..perhaps the whole para should be emboldened)
That the Minister has not yet intervened, and that many within the Australian scientific community attempt to justify the practice of homogenisation that creates these ‘adjustments’ that changes cooling trends to warming trends at a whim, is reason for national shame. It all amounts to corruption of the scientific process on a grand scale, with significant economic implications. But not even a whisper about the scandal can be heard from the Australian national broadcaster or the many other typically righteous institutions and individuals that claim to be motivated by the truth.
Shame on you, cheating BoM scientists, shame on you Greg Hunt,  shame on you MSM reporters.
Read the whole post HERE. Jennifer concludes with:
In a democracy it is the role of government to oversee the correct function of institutions like the Bureau of Meteorology. Greg Hunt is the Minister ultimately responsible. So far he has been silent on the issue. This is in effect condoning what until recently would have been considered a totally unethical practice: changing received evidence to fit a preferred storyline. Its unacceptable, but will Minister Hunt do anything about it? Will the national broadcaster even report on it? What can you do about it?
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And Paul Clark (see comments) adds:



Carbon Based Energy Works: Renewable Energy Doesn't

On Tuesday September 9 in Melbourne the Institute of Public Affairs HB McKay
Dinner presented the report: The energy of human flourishing: Liberty, Innovation and Progress delivered by Robert Bryce who is a Senior Fellow with the Manhattan Institute of New York.

 Robert Bryce is a Senior Fellow with the Centre for Energy Policy and the Environment at the Manhattan Institute.

His first book Pipe Dreams: Greed, Ego and the Death of Enron was named one of the best non-fiction books of the year by Publisher Weekly. His most recent book Smaller Faster Lighter Denser Cheaper was published in May 2014.

Terry McCrann, who thanked the Speaker at the Dinner,  has written a report for  the Herald Sun (link)
Source

Shredding stupidity on renewable energy

ROBERT Bryce came to town and in 45 minutes of clinical, highly entertaining, fact-filled presentation, completely shredded the fantasies of so-called renewable energy. 
In summary, we use carbon-based energy — oil, gas and mostly coal — because it works. Renewable, whether wind or solar, does not. It’s ultimately as simple and undeniable as that. 
More to the point, the overwhelming majority of the earth’s population, which either has no access to electricity or very poor and limited access, is going to keep using more and more energy. That’s, more and more carbon-based energy, mostly coal. 
The entire developed world, the US, Japan, all of Europe and little ’ol Australia, could reduce its use of carbon-based energy to zero — obviously, it won’t; indeed, it would be lucky to knock off even 10 per cent anytime soon — and that would be swamped by the increase in the use of carbon-based energy by developing countries which aspire to our prosperity. 
That is to say, there is zero prospect of any global reduction in the use of coal and carbon-based energy in total; and so of the associated carbon dioxide emissions. Indeed, both coal use and CO2 emissions will continue to rise relentlessly. 
Read more, including PMs Rudd abd Gillard's "cognitive dissonance" and how barely 2% of world energy comes from renewables - HERE.