All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Friday, 3 January 2014

Global Warming - only Down-under? UPDATED

Rescue Ice Breaker Aurora Australis: 1/4 knot  in heavy ice
We are just getting over the "Ship of Fools" in Antarctica and are now confronted with the "BullShip" of fools from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM).

It was just twelve months ago when the BoM announced Temperatures off the charts as Australia turns deep purple.  Joanne Nova commented:




You could almost be forgiven for wondering if the Bureau of Meteorology is a science unit or a PR agency. They seem professionally adept at getting headlines, but not so hot at predicting the weather ....it was awfully hot for a couple of weeks. Birdsville got to 49C on Jan 13th.  Moomba 49.6C on the 12th. But even these temperatures are not “a new climate”. How many people around the world realize that 50C plus days have occurred many times before across Australia? Even if it had got to 51C,  there are many approximate equivalents in the last 180 years. It’s like trying to rewrite history. The BOM were probably 100 years too late in adding colors to the scale. They should have been there all along.
Undaunted, this land based "Ship of Fools" are at it again. They have issued a report saying that
2013 was hottest year on record in Australia (link)
which has been lapped up by the Alarmist media, by the "We don't believe in our Charter" ABC, and by the Fairfax Press.

What has happened to responsible Journalism? What has happened to
Journalists are skepticalJournalists are taught to question everything, and with good reason. There’s no shortage of people who fabricate stories.....
Most of the Main Stream Media and especially the Fairfax/ABC AGW Propagandists definitely fail Journalism 101. Should we we invent a new word for these failures: Reportagandists? Propajournos? Journaliars?

Or should we resort to older words, eg Shills
shill
A person engaged in covert advertising. The shill attempts to spread buzz by personally endorsing the product in public forums with the pretense of sincerity
Did any of the shills question anything from the Bureau's BoomT!sh? Did they question why the BoM started their comparison from 1950? Did they question, eg this statement:
The Australian region warming is very similar to that seen at the global scale, and the past year emphasises that the warming trend continues. 
Really: Global Scale? Trend -0.01ºC/century
Graphic: Lord Christopher Monckton
 Or From the Alarmists Propaganda site (UN)Skeptical Science: Trend -0.049ºC/decade.


Whatever! No way can the BoM BoomT!shers say there is warming on a global scale.

In the US, 2013 set more new COLD records than hot records:

For the first time in 20 years, the USA saw more record cold temperatures than record hot temperatures in 2013.

In Jerusalem a 134 year record was broken:
Jerusalem breaks 134-year-old snowfall record  
The blizzard cut Jerusalem off and almost completely paralyzed life in the city as of Thursday, December 12, 2013.
In Cairo, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon:
Snow shocks Cairo for first time in 100 years  
A severe Middle East winter snowstorm has left a blanket of snow on Cairo, Egypt for the first time in over 100 years. The freak storm also caused Middle East Mayhem in Jordan and Jerusalem, where snowfall levels were recorded reach as much as half a meter in many places. The Land of the Nile was not the only place to see snowfalls as snow also fell in unlikely places like Saudi Arabia, where even rainfall is a rarity.
In other parts of the Middle East, the severe winter weather has caused problems to parts of Jordan, Syria and Lebanon where thousands of refugees from the ongoing Syrian civil conflict are living in refugee camps and makeshift shelters. 
Whether this severe winter weather has any connection to Middle East climate change is still not certain. After all, this is the region where scientists have been saying that some of the most extreme summer heat waves have been occurring with record high temperatures . Some of those high temperatures might be welcomed now.
What about the Rescue of the "Ship of Fools?"
Ship with 52 rescued Akademik Shokalskiy climate scientists and tourists is only able to make 1/4 knot (0.29 mph) in heavy ice towards open water. Latest webcam views show all ice all around the ship and no open water ahead.  (link)
The Aurora Australis will now start heading towards open water. The ship is currently travelling at a quarter knot in heavy ice towards open water. It will take until late evening to reach open water. 
The Aurora Australis will then head towards the Casey base to complete a resupply before heading to Australia. The Aurora Australis is not expected to arrive in Australia until mid-January.
Who are these fools trying to fool?

University of New South Wales climate expert Dr Sarah Perkins
"Australia has always been a country of extremes; we're no strangers to tropical cyclones or heatwaves or anything of the like, but it's the time they're occurring, particularly the start of the bushfire season this year. It was the earliest on record. That's what we're worried about."
But Sarah! You call yourself an expert? It was not the earliest on record! Not even the second earliest. Are you ill-informed or are you mendicating?

From Andrew Bolt:
In fact, of 48 major bushfires in NSW between 1926 and 2006, 11 occurred in October or earlier:
North-Western NSW: Bushfires – 01/09/84 deaths – 4

Western Sydney and Central Coast, NSW: 16/10/91 deaths – 2

Hunter Valley, NSW: 01/09/96
Central Coast/Hunter Valley/south coast. 15/08/96
NW NSW : Bush Fire 30/10/01
Sydney, NSW: Bushfires 09/10/02
Northern NSW: Bushfire 27/09/02
Central Coast, QLD/NSW: Bushfires 27/09/02
Cessnock, NSW: Bushfire 19/10/02 deaths – 1
NSW Bushfires 24/09/06
Bushfires: Sydney and South Coast, NSW 24/09/06

UPDATES

More from the Bureau of Mediocrity Meteorology

http://jennifermarohasy.com/2013/03/cooking-books-for-hot-summers/
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology has “confirmed” that it is been the hottest summer on record in Australia. But I’m sceptical. 
The “record breaking hot summer” is apparently a statistical fact derived from simply averaging across 104 or 112 localities – depending on who at the Bureau is providing the information.  No mention is made of how the temperatures for all of these localities have been “corrected” over recent years through the ACORN program.
And Two posts from Warwick Hughes:

http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=2603
 2013 was hottest year on record in Australia, Bureau of Meteorology says –Most of us have little idea of the extent to which the BoM ACORN SAT temperature series has older data adjusted cooler to increase the warming trend.This chart shows the monthly mean temperature ACORN SAT data that the BoM rely upon for their statements and shows the strongly cyclic nature of the 12 month average.

http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=2605
Brisbane tipped to hit 41° on 4 Jan 2014 but reality was 38°

Should we still pay for these clowns who are working against us?

5 comments:

  1. Appears they are getting pushed N/W by 34 mph S/E winds. Winds look steady but the area is going to cloud up with falling temps.

    The Guardian wrote on 1/2/14 that:

    There is much scathing comment about the Akademik Shokalskiy's trip on Twitter, with many claiming the fact the ship got stuck in the ice suggests global warming is false.

    To some climate change contrarians, repeated attempts to free the vessel from the ice are proof that the theory of climate change is flawed or, at best, exaggerated. After all, a warming planet has no ice at all, right? ...

    Studies have found Antarctica has lost about 100bn tonnes of continental ice a year since 1993, causing the global sea level to rise by about 0.2mm a year.

    The latest climate report from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, released last year, said there was “high confidence” that the Antarctic ice sheet had been losing ice during the past two decades, mainly from the northern and western parts of the continent, near South America ...

    There are still gaps in scientific understanding of the Antarctic, mainly around the dynamics of ice sheets. This understanding will be improved by rigorous analysis of gathered evidence. It’s unlikely a single ship getting stuck in ice will cause a major deviation in researchers’ findings. http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live/2014/jan/02/antarctic-rescue-akademik-shokalskiy-live-coverage

    Brain Dead Deviants...... What else can I Say? Obviously.....they represent the deviation.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sheeeesh! I should have included the Guardian into the shills (Reportagandists? Propajournos? Journaliars?) above but I didn't think that any-one read it.

      "high confidence” that the Antarctic ice sheet had been losing ice during the past two decades..." What buffalo excement! They must have been reading the cow droppings from (UN)Skeptical Science.

      Antarctica gaining Ice Mass (balance*) — and is not extraordinary compared to 800 years of data.....Jo Nova

      http://joannenova.com.au/2013/04/antarctica-gaining-ice-mass-and-is-not-extraordinary-compared-to-800-years-of-data/

      Delete
    2. I realise this thread is old but anyway ...

      I also read that article from Joanne Nova, and had difficulty reconciling the article cited with other peer reviewed research. After a while I found the answer.

      The article the Joanne Nova posted related only to surface ice. That is, it is not including calving loss and basal melt: http://www.antarcticglaciers.org/glaciers-and-climate/antarctic-ice-sheet-surface-mass-balance/

      I.e. It does *not* show total mass loss at all.

      Later in the comments, I see that this was acknowledged by Joanne Nova, who then "corrected" the post. And yet I was taken in by this "corrected" post, as were you.

      Some "correction" that was. A nice example of intellectual dishonesty from Joanne Nova

      Delete
  2. Suggesting that the BoM is involved in some sort of lefty climate change conspiracy is crackpot nutjob stuff. It is insulting to all the BoM people who work hard every day to provide a service which not only makes our lives easier, but often protects them. If you really believe that they are working against you or your interests, you're an idiot

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. At least I can read, which is more than I can say for you.

      Delete





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