"Carbon Sense" Common sense on carbon, food, energy and climate.
Please pass on to media, politicians and the public
Would you prefer to be:
Warm and well fed,
or hungry in the dark?
How to Increase the Risks of Blackouts
12 April
2013.
A pdf print-ready copy
of this newsletter with all illustrations in place can be downloaded from:
by Viv
Forbes
Chairman,
The Carbon Sense Coalition.
Politicians are continually increasing the risks of
electricity blackouts with their dangerous climate policies. It is foolish in
the extreme to believe that humans can change the future climate by collecting
carbon taxes and covering the hills with wind turbines.
We should ask them: which is worse - gradual man-made
global warming or sudden electricity blackout?
Alarmists try to scare us by claiming that man’s
activities are causing global warming. Whether and when we may see new man-made
warming is disputed and uncertain. If it does appear, the world will be
slightly warmer, with more evaporation and rainfall; plants will grow better
and colonise some areas currently too cold or too dry; fewer old people will
die in winter and sea levels may continue the gradual rise we have seen since
the end of the last ice age. There may even be a bit more “green” in Greenland.
There is no evidence that man’s production of carbon dioxide is causing more
extreme weather events. Any change caused by man will be gradual and there will
be plenty of time to adapt, as humans have always done. Most people will hardly
notice it.
What is certain, however, is that global warming
policies are greatly increasing the chances of electricity blackouts, and here
the effects can be predicted confidently - they will be sudden and severe.
Localised short-term blackouts can be caused by sudden
failure of supply caused by cyclones, storms, fires, floods, accidents,
equipment failure or overloading. People will cope with them. The more
widespread blackouts, caused for example by network collapse or insufficient
generating capacity, will have severe effects.
All modern human activities are heavily dependent on
electricity. Blackouts will stop lifts, trains, traffic lights, tools,
appliances, factories, mines, refineries, communications and pumps for fuel,
water and sewerage. People will be trapped or stranded in trains, ports,
airports, lifts, hotels, hospitals and traffic jams. ATM’s, credit cards and
supermarket checkouts will not work. Cash, cheques, IOU’s and pocket
calculators will be required to buy anything.
Immediately a blackout occurs, those with emergency
generators, fuel or batteries will start using them.
But within a very few days, batteries will run flat,
emergency fuel supplies will be exhausted, food supplies will disappear from
stores and pumped water will not be available. Intensive dairies, hatcheries,
piggeries and feedlots will all face critical problems in keeping their animals
alive and cared for.
If the blackout is extensive and prolonged, looting
will infect the big cities and then spread to country areas. People who are
old, sick, incapacitated or alone will be forgotten as able-bodied people focus
on feeding and protecting their own.
The real threat to humanity today is not the
theoretical dangers from gradual man-made global warming. A far bigger real
danger is the growing threat to reliable electricity supplies from deep-green
climate policies.
The most reliable electricity supplies come from coal,
gas, hydro, nuclear, geothermal or oil. Misguided politicians and
uncompromising nature are conspiring to ensure that few of these will be
available to generate Australia’s future electricity.
The carbon tax and renewable energy targets threaten
the financial viability of using coal, gas or oil to generate electricity.
Banks and investors will not risk their capital on new carbon-powered stations
dependent on an unstable and polarised political environment. And the declining
profitability of existing stations under the carbon tax and mandated market
sharing makes it risky and uneconomic to spend money maintaining existing aging
stations.
The same green zealots who plot to destroy carbon
energy will also work to prevent the construction of new nuclear or hydro
plants in Australia. And Australia’s geothermal resources, being generally deep
and remote, are unlikely to provide significant electricity for decades.
We are thus being forced to rely on fickle breezes and
peek-a-boo sunbeams to generate expensive and intermittent electricity. And it
will not be economic to continue building backup gas plants that are run below
capacity or sit idle, earning insufficient income as they try to fill the
unpredictable production gaps in the supply of green energy. The margin of
supply safety will disappear.
Therefore, if we continue to allow green zealots to
dictate our electricity generation, blackouts are inevitable. Britain and
Germany already face this grim prospect.
All actions have consequences. We cannot continue
pouring billions of dollars of community savings down the climate-change
sink-hole, without starving our essential infrastructure. We cannot keep adding
taxes and political risk to traditional electricity generators without reducing
new investment in real base-load generating capacity. And we cannot keep adding
unstable solar and wind elements to our electricity network without adding
greatly to electricity costs and the risks of network failure.
When the lights fail, and the supermarket shelves are
cleaned out, we will return, at great cost and after much misery, to cheap
reliable continuous electricity using coal, gas or nuclear fuels.
Gaia worshippers will find that “Earth Hour” will not
be such fun when it becomes “Earth Week”.
Disclosure: Viv Forbes has no vested interest in
electricity generation, except as a consumer. And he gets no funds from the
government Climate Change Industry. He holds shares in a small Australian coal
exploration company which will benefit by exporting coal if expensive
unreliable electricity in Australia forces more power-using industries
overseas.
More Reading for those interested:
A real story
of life in a Megacity during an extended Blackout:
http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/living-the-green-dream-in-megacity.pdf
What Happens during a Blackout – an assessment
of the consequences of a prolonged and wide-ranging Power Outage in Germany:
Germany facing Blackouts:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/germany/9609777/Germany-facing-power-blackouts.html
Rolling Blackouts loom in UK:
http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/business/energy_and_environment/article1206396.ece
Rolling Blackouts force Texas to Import Power from
Mexico:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2011/02/03/rolling-blackouts-force-texas-to-import-power-from-mexico/
Wind Power fails Britain:
Why Wind Won’t Work:
It’s the cold, not global warming, that is the
danger:
A Lesson on Renewable Energy from a Canny Scot:
http://carbon-sense.com/2011/12/01/miller-to-salmond-letter/
Wind Farm Performance:
http://stopthesethings.com/2013/03/29/the-wind-industrys-lies-dissected/
Pray
for Green Britain this Easter
We in Coal Country should pray for Britons who have
just two days of imported gas supplies, wind turbines becalmed, snow falling
and four reliable coal-fired power stations being prematurely closed in case
they cause global warming.
When blackouts come to green-powered Britain, people
will yearn for any sort of warming.
Viv Forbes
|
Spring 2013 in Manitoba
in
the
Era of Global Warming
(artist unknown)
If this
picture is lost in transmission, you can download a complete print-ready report
by Ctrl/click below:
More: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/story/2013/04/09/mb-cold-spring-windchill-winnipeg.html
Curbing the GW Virus?
A virulent virus is being spread at international
climate conferences.
Called the GW Virus (short for Manmade Global Warming
Virus), the symptoms are a psychotic fear of the word “carbon”, a compulsion to
blame man’s industry for every bad weather event, an urge to weave a warm bias
into every weather report and forecast, and a morbid fascination with
windmills.
The GW virus was first identified in the British
Parliament in 1988 and spread quickly to the vulnerable BBC. It is an airborne
virus and was soon spread by junketing politicians to NASA and the UN, thence
to an Earth Conference in Rio in 1992, and then to Kyoto in 1997. The infection
peaked in Copenhagen in 2009, when thousands of politicians, academics,
officials and reporters became feverish.
Because of its isolation, Australia had not developed
immunity to this virus, and it quickly took root in the ABC, thoroughly
infected many politicians especially the governing ALP/Greens coalition, and
then spread via government grant meetings to the CSIRO and every University in
the land.
In Australia, incurable cases are sent to an isolation
ward called the Climate Commission, headed by chronic MGW sufferer, Tim
Flannery. Like vultures perched on a dead tree, these dedicated doomsters see
droughts and heat waves in every weather event, even when large areas of the
country are suffering floods and unseasonal cold.
The only protection against the GW virus is
immunisation with a shot of climate history vaccine. This helps “at risk”
alarmists to accept that there is nothing new about fires, floods, droughts,
cyclones, heat waves, snow storms or variations in carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere.
To curb the further spread of this virulent and
destructive virus, infected sufferers must be banned from climate conferences
and all infected politicians must be quarantined in their offices.
Growing old waiting for global warming
“I’ve grown old waiting for the promised global
warming. I was 35 when predictions of a looming ice age were supplanted by
warm-mongering. Now I’m 68, and there’s still no sign of warmer weather. It’s
enough to make one doubt the “settled science” of the government-funded
doom-sayers.”
Agenda 21
“Those pushing
Agenda 21 deliberately seek to trash traditional Australian values, remove
private property rights, destroy Australian sovereignty, independence and
prosperity, while at the same time deliberately preventing Australians from
making an informed democratic choice.”
Graham Williamson
For a discussion on the dangers of locking up
the land see:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/01/20/australias-alien-environment-fuels-firestorms/
The Last Word
Vale, Margaret Thatcher.
Maybe the First Prominent Climate
Alarmist to recant and become a Sceptic.
“Pouring scorn on the "doomsters", she
questioned the main scientific assumptions used to drive the scare, from the
conviction that the chief force shaping world climate is CO2, rather than
natural factors such as solar activity, to exaggerated claims about rising sea
levels. She mocked Al Gore and the futility of "costly and economically
damaging" schemes to reduce CO2 emissions. She cited the 2.5ºC rise in
temperatures during the Medieval Warm Period as having had almost entirely
beneficial effects. She pointed out that the dangers of a world getting colder
are far worse than those of a CO2-enriched world growing warmer. She recognised
how distortions of the science had been used to mask an anti-capitalist,
Left-wing political agenda which posed a serious threat to the progress and
prosperity of mankind.”
Christopher Booker.
Authorised by:
Viv Forbes
Rosevale Qld
Australia
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