Friday, 23 March 2012

Another win for the Realists

From Forbes:   Mississippi Court Ends Global-Warming Suit
Cooling tower emitting H2O
Can't see the CO2!
(Image credit: AFP via @daylife)
Daniel Fisher, Forbes Staff
A federal judge in Mississippi has ended a long-running suit that attempted to hold a selection of U.S. utilities and coal and oil companies responsible for flooding damage caused by Hurricane Katrina.
U.S. District Judge Louis Guirola Jr., in a decision released yesterday, dismissed Comer vs. Murphy Oil with prejudice, meaning it can’t be refiled or reconstituted. The decision should serve to preclude, other similar lawsuits accusing companies of emitting global-warming gases that cause damaging weather patterns.
Guirola dismissed the case for legal reasons — he’d already dismissed it once before, and he said the plaintiffs were barred by various legal doctrines from reviving it — but “out of an abundance of caution” he reiterated why the case shouldn’t be allowed to proceed.
Those reasons are becoming familiar in global-warming cases: Guirola ruled the case invalid because the underlying issue of global warming is a political question, best left to the legislative branch and regulators to decide. And because existing tort law requires plaintiffs to prove a more solid connection between their injuries and the actions of those they are suing than a scientifically plausible argument that one contributed to the other.

Why aren't there more sensible judges?

Labor's Lie Levy exterminatates economy

PM Gillard sticking her neck out for Holden
The irony of PM "There will be no carbon tax..." Gillard propping up union jobs in vehicle manufacture after the pain to that industry caused by the Green Gillard Government's tax on vital-to-life carbon dioxide; the increased costs on coal and steel, would be laughable if it were not so serious a threat to our economy.

As the Daily Telegraph wrote:
Now comes dramatic confirmation of the excessive power charges suffered throughout Australia. Our coal-rich nation, which logically should have the resources to generate cheap electricity for decades if not centuries, pays a remarkable 130 per cent more for electricity than does Canada, to give just one example.
Across Europe, in Asia and the South Pacific, the story is the same. Australia stands at the very top of the table when it comes to electricity costs.
And here's the really bad news. The federal Labor government's looming carbon tax will only make that painful margin between us and most of the rest of the world even larger.
This evil "price" on carbon (dioxide) will hit everybody from Mining Millionaire Magnates to the poorest pensioner.  Electricity is a component in everything you buy, everything you do. Manufacturing costs will rise, shopping centres must increase rents to provide lighting and cleaning in common areas.

Councils will have to increase rates causing another hit below the belt to the economy. Those of us who need to fly or can afford air fares as a luxury will also be affected. As Andrew Bolt writes:
The Municipal Association of Victoria estimates the carbon tax will add three per cent to bills, which could increase by up to 30 percent with other charges.
 
Power prices are likely to be higher than Government estimates and may increase further following a warning by Australia's largest power generator that it could be forced to reduce output to cut carbon costs.
The company says this could push up the price of electricity even more because of less power being available on the National Electricity Market.
Airlines have confirmed they will add a carbon tax surcharge to the cost of a ticket and small businesses may also be forced to increase their prices to the public.

At the same time China, the primary source of Australia's booming economy over the last few years is going through a growth slow-down. (From Business Spectator):
In China, manufacturing activity fell to a four-month low in March, HSBC bank said on Thursday, adding fuel to concerns over slowing growth in the world's second-largest economy.

NZCLIMATE TRUTH NEWSLETTER NO 287

The Beehive (left) and Parliament House (right)
Image: Wikipedia
 
 By Dr Vincent Gray
MARCH  23rd 2012
 
 
CONFLICT OF INTEREST

I cannot do anything but rejoice at the departure of Nick Smith from the Cabinet because of a "Conflict of Interest:" He is the most fanatical supporter of the theory that "global warming" is caused by emissions of carbon dioxide. I might just repeat  once again, my experience last year.

Rodney Hyde asked a question in Parliament regarding the evidence for the "global warming" theory. Nick Smith replied that he would lay on a briefing for him and the other MPs to explain this. Rodney asked whether he could bring along an expert with him. Nick Smith immediately agreed.,

As I am a member of the Climate Science Coalition in Wellington. I found myself appointed as this expert. I went along to the ACT Party office a bit before  the appointed time to discuss things with Rodney Hyde. I was introduced to Sir Roger Douglas and then we went to Nick Smith's office in Parliament and went and sat down. I was welcomed by everybody present.

Then, in walked Nick Smith. He went red all over when he saw me and shouted "You don't belong here. This is for MPs only. GET OUT". So I got out. Rodney Hyde said nothing.

So now he has gone from the Environment post. Good riddance.

But "Conflict of Interest"? Is this a good reason for a dismissal?  Nobody seems to realise that the most elaborate and comprehensive conflict of interest that has been inflicted on the public is the "Global Warning" Theory.

I have been an Expert Reviewer on every one of the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and I can tell you that there is not a scrap of evidence in any of them that human emissions of carbon dioxide have any harmful effect on the climate.

How have they got away with it?

Attempts to "simulate" their unreliable and manipulated past climate "data" have been failures, yet are claimed as successes, But even if the "data" were genuine and the simulation successful it does not prove anything. Correlation, however convincing is not evidence of causation. The only way you can demonstrate the success of any theory is successful prediction  of future climate over the whole range it is intended to be used, to a satisfactory level of accuracy. This has already been done with Newton's Laws of motion and Darwin's theories of evolution. It has not been done with the "global warming" theory. There has been no successful attempt to predict any future climate event. They do not even pretend they can do it, as they only provide "projections" from their models, not "predictions": .

How have they persuaded us that they are able to predict future climate?

They operate a system called "attribution". This is a combination of "simulation" (correlation), and "assessment" by "experts".  The "experts" are all paid to provide the models that they are assessing. These assessments are therefore an elaborate and comprehensive  conflict of interest.

They apply a whole series of "likelihoods" to each "assessment" and apply a fake "statistical significance" which, unlike those normally applied to genuine science, have no background of actual experimental observations.

I attach the official list of instructions on how to perpetrate this elaborate fraud on the international community, from the Fourth IPCC Report.

Cheers
Vincent Gray
Wellington 6035

"To kill an error is as good a service as, and sometimes better than, the establishing of a new truth or fact"   Charles Darwin



Attachment: AR4 Uncertainy Guidance Notes (pdf)

Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age extended to the Antarctic Peninsula.

Antarctic Peninsula
Peer reviewed paper - Earth and Planetary Science Letters Volumes 325–326, 1 April 2012, Pages 108–115 
An ikaite record of late Holocene climate at the Antarctic Peninsula

Zunli Lu, Rosalind E.M. Rickaby, Hilary Kennedy, Paul Kennedy, Richard D. Pancost, Samuel Shaw, Alistair Lennie, Julia Wellner, John B. Anderson

Abstract
Calcium carbonate can crystallize in a hydrated form as ikaite at low temperatures. The hydration water in ikaite grown in laboratory experiments records the δ18O of ambient water, a feature potentially useful for reconstructing δ18O of local seawater. We report the first downcore δ18O record of natural ikaite hydration waters and crystals collected from the Antarctic Peninsula (AP), a region sensitive to climate fluctuations. We are able to establish the zone of ikaite formation within shallow sediments, based on porewater chemical and isotopic data. Having constrained the depth of ikaite formation and δ18O of ikaite crystals and hydration waters, we are able to infer local changes in fjord δ18O versus time during the late Holocene. This ikaite record qualitatively supports that both the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age extended to the Antarctic Peninsula.

Another nail in the coffin of Michael Mann's fraudulent "hockeystick" graph.

Anthony Watts (WUWT) writes
A team of scientists led by Syracuse University geochemist Zunli Lu has found a new key in the form of ikaite, a rare mineral that forms in cold waters. Composed of calcium carbonate and water, ikaite crystals can be found off the coasts of Antarctica and Greenland.
“Ikaite is an icy version of limestone,” say Lu, assistant professor of earth sciences in SU’s College of Arts and Sciences. “The crystals are only stable under cold conditions and actually melt at room temperature.”

It turns out the water that holds the crystal structure together (called the hydration water) traps information about temperatures present when the crystals formed. This finding by Lu’s research team establishes, for the first time, ikaite as a reliable proxy for studying past climate conditions. The research was recently published online in the journal Earth and Planetary Science Letters and will appear in print on April 1. Lu conducted most of the experimental work for the study while a post-doctoral researcher at Oxford University. Data interpretation was done after he arrived at SU.
 Read more at WUWT - link.