All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Friday, 4 February 2011

Garnault's Guano

Oh dear, Professor Garnualt is at it again, spreading guano around the country. As Andrew Bolt points out in his column Dear Professor Garnaut: we’ve seen it before he has put himself among the alarmists who claim that man-made warming made Cyclone Yasi worse. Andrew adds a list of links to evidence that there was nothing abnormal about the events leading up to YASI.


If we examine some of Prof Garnault items.....
No 3: Global emission trends. Garnaut noted that the IPCC, IEA and other organisations had grossly underestimated the emissions path of the major developing economies
Isn't it interesting that first the alarmists dropped the DIOXIDE from carbon dioxide emissions and now they have even dropped the carbon. However this approach won't work on their call for a Carbon Dioxide Tax = Carbon Tax=TAX. However, the hypothesis that "human-caused carbon dioxide emissions are causing dangerous global warming" has been falsified by failing SIX Tests. See  link here.
No 5: Climate science. Garnaut says the latest IPCC compendium was published in 2007, but effectively only included peer reviewed science up until about 2005, and he intends to look at what’s been added since that time.

In “Peer Review? What Peer Review?” McLean writes, “The IPCC would have us believe that its reports are diligently reviewed by many hundreds of scientists and that these reviewers endorse the contents of the report. Analyses of reviewer comments show a very different and disturbing story.” 
PDF Here.

A little more study is needed, Professor, before you issue your next installment!


UPDATE

On Lateline, Professor Ross Garnaut says weather events are likely to become more and more severe unless global warming is slowed.


 ROSS GARNAUT, CLIMATE CHANGE ADVISOR: While Australia has always been a place of variable climate, a place of drought and flooding rains, the greater energy in the atmosphere and the seas can intensify extreme events and I'm afraid that we're feeling some of that today. And we are feeling that at a time when global warming is in its early stages.
 A warming climate does lead to intensification of these sorts of extreme climatic events that we've seen in Queensland and I think that people are wishing to avoid those awful challenges in Queensland will be amongst the people supporting effective action on climate change.


They say if you put five economists in a room you will get six different opinions. So, does a warming climate does lead to intensification of these sorts of extreme climatic events?  From the BoM site  (via Andrew Bolt):


There have been 207 known impacts from tropical cyclones along the east coast since 1858. Major east coast tropical cyclones impacts include 1890 Cardwell; 1893 Brisbane; 1898 NSW; 1899 Bathurst Bay; 1918 Innisfail; 1918 Mackay; 1927 Cairns and inland areas; 1934 Port Douglas; 1949 Rockhampton; 1954 Gold Coast; 1967 Dinah, Southern Queensland; 1970 Ada, Whitsunday Islands; 1971 Althea, Townsville; 1974 Wanda, Brisbane; and 2006 Larry, Innisfail.
So we had global cooling from ~1945-1975 and 6 tropical cyclones. We had warming from ~1975 to the turn of the century and, gulp, only Larry during the warming. Garnault says : "A warming climate does lead to intensification of these sorts of extreme climatic events that we've seen in Queensland..."

Does the data support Prof Garnault's outburst?

 

5 comments:

  1. Give it a rest - this site is misleading and those six tests are garbage. Open your eyes and wake up. 2010 was the hottest and wettest year on record, yet you expect your readers to believe the word-twisting and misinformation you are regurgitating here from Bob Carter, Joanne Nova, Andrew Bolt and wattsupwiththat.tragic.blog.com?

    butcherboy

    ReplyDelete
  2. Butcherboy, it is easy to say "those six tests are garbage," but it is harder to substantiate it.

    Open your eyes and wake up, Butchboy. If you cannot rebut Professor Carter, don't malign him. Show your reasoning.

    As for word twisting, you claim "2010 was the hottest...year on record." Really? Perhaps not.

    Professor Don Easterbrook, after considering the Egyptian Warming, The Minoan Warming, The Medieval Warming and the late 20th century warming, rates it 9099 warmest out of the last 10,000. See (http://www.iceagenow.com/2010%E2%80%94where_does_it_fit_in_the_warmest_year_list-9099th.htm)

    And the wettest? Well, David Jones from the Bureau of Meteorology says: "Based on preliminary numbers, 2010 was the wettest year on record for Queensland. The Northern Territory, New South Wales and South Australia experienced their 3rd wettest year on record, and Victoria experienced its 5th wettest year on record."

    So, a fairly wet year butr not quite up to the butcherbug's standard. Jones also says, regarding the "hottest" year on record - "Mean temperatures in 2010 were cooler than those for the previous eight years...."

    ReplyDelete
  3. Sorry, butchone, I missed the link to BoM's David Jones -
    http://www.bom.gov.au/announcements/media_releases/climate/change/20110105.shtml

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hey Butcherboy, A new post comparing the data from three sources to see if 2010 was REALLY the warmest year.
    A new report by Dr David Whitehouse -
    http://tinyurl.com/4k35yfo

    Compares three sets of DATA

    Dataset:
    Crut3v 2010 overall; cooler than 2005, 1998.

    Hadcrut3 from CRU-2010 overall; cooler than 2005, 1998, equivalent to 2003.

    Met Office” Hadcrut3- 2010 overall; cooler than 1998.

    QED - Butcherbouy

    ReplyDelete
  5. I am not the only one pointing out the inaccuracies in Prof Garnault's release:

    Simon says:

    http://www.australianclimatemadness.com/2011/02/garnauts-cynical-opportunism/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=garnauts-cynical-opportunism

    "You're right, we ain't seen nothin' yet. We haven't yet seen a fraction of the hysteria and alarmism from ill-informed commentators and politicians with an agenda to push, who have the memory span of a goldfish and don't have the intellectual capacity to understand that cyclones have been part of Australia's climate for thousands of years, like floods and droughts. Total climate madness."

    ReplyDelete





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